Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 30/10, 03:00
Prediction: Rei Sakamoto vs Billy Harris
Team pages: Rei Sakamoto · Billy Harris
Prediction summary
Winner
Rei Sakamoto
Billy Harris
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Rei Sakamoto
7-3 (W-L)
Billy Harris
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rei Sakamoto 1578 · Billy Harris 1480
| Rei Sakamoto | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Rei Sakamoto (rating 1578 vs 1480).
- Rei Sakamoto is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rei Sakamoto | Billy Harris | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.6 | 1.1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.2-9.5 | 13.8-12.7 |
| Aces | 8.1 | 5.5 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 3.4 |
| 1st serve % | 77.1% | 70% |
| Break % | 34.8% | 41.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rei Sakamoto
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Zhizhen Zhang Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 26/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Gabriel Diallo ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 17/10 | Amir Omarkhanov ATP Almaty · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 11/10 | Alex De Minaur ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Andrey Rublev ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Marco Trungelliti ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 06/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-18 | W |
| 05/10 | Seong Chan Hong ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Billy Harris
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Aleksandar Vukic Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/10 | Jangjun Kim Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Matisse Bobichon Challenger Roanne · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 05/10 | Dalibor Svrcina ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 29/09 | Felix Balshaw Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 24/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/09 | Nicolai Budkov Kjaer Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 14/09 | Ugo Blanchet Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Cassis · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 07/09 | Hugo Grenier Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rei Sakamoto vs Billy Harris?
Our model gives 71% to Rei Sakamoto, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.