Tennis · W35 Kunshan · 29/10, 04:00
Prediction: Daria Zelinskaya vs Chengyiyi Yuan
Team pages: Daria Zelinskaya · Chengyiyi Yuan
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Zelinskaya
Chengyiyi Yuan
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Zelinskaya
5-5 (W-L)
Chengyiyi Yuan
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Zelinskaya 1497 · Chengyiyi Yuan 1544
| Daria Zelinskaya | Chengyiyi Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengyiyi Yuan (rating 1497 vs 1544).
- Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (11.3/match).
Statistics
| Daria Zelinskaya | Chengyiyi Yuan | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.3 | 1.5-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.7-10.8 | 13.3-11.2 |
| Aces | 2.6 | 2.3 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 11.3 |
| 1st serve % | 64.5% | 70% |
| Break % | 35.1% | 51.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Zelinskaya
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Zhuoxuan Bai W35 Kunshan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Rada Zolotareva W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 03/10 | Antonina Sushkova W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Charlotte Van Zonneveld W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-2 | W |
| 01/10 | Sofia Avataneo W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Ayline Esina Samardzic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Esther Adeshina W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/08 | Eunchae Kim W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Arina Arifullina W15 Astana |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Victoria Milovanova W15 Astana |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
Chengyiyi Yuan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Ksenia Efremova W35 Kunshan |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Yidi Yang W35 Qian Daohu |
1-2 | 18-15 | L |
| 21/10 | Cheuk Ying Shek W35 Qian Daohu |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Sijia Wei W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 16/10 | Ekaterina Ovcharenko W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 15/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Yiming Dang W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 04/10 | Han Shi WTA Suzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 27/09 | Amelia Rajecki WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/09 | Nika Radisic WTA Jingshan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Zelinskaya vs Chengyiyi Yuan?
Our model gives 62% to Chengyiyi Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.