Tennis · WTA Guangzhou · 29/10, 06:00
Prediction: Claire Liu vs Katerina Siniakova
Team pages: Claire Liu · Katerina Siniakova
Prediction summary
Winner
Claire Liu
Katerina Siniakova
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Claire Liu
5-5 (W-L)
Katerina Siniakova
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Claire Liu
2–0
Katerina Siniakova
(2 last)
- 01 Jan2-1 12-10W
- 05 Oct2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Claire Liu 1534 · Katerina Siniakova 1565
| Claire Liu | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 54% |
| Market | 34% | 66% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Claire Liu 2–0 Katerina Siniakova (2).
- Note: Katerina Siniakova makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Claire Liu | Katerina Siniakova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.4-9.5 | 11.8-8.4 |
| Aces | 4.2 | 1.6 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 4 |
| 1st serve % | 68.3% | 66% |
| Break % | 40.6% | 53.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
H2H · Claire Liu 2 – 0 Katerina Siniakova (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Claire Liu 2–0 Katerina Siniakova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/01/23 WTA Adelaide | 2-1 | 12-10 | W |
| 05/10/22 WTA Monastir | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Claire Liu
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Antonia Ruzic WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 20/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Maddison Inglis WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 17/10 | Kanon Sawashiro WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 10/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Wuhan · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Rebecca Sramkova WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 05/10 | Elsa Jacquemot WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 16/09 | Mary Stoiana WTA Sao Paulo · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 12/09 | Anna Blinkova WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Leolia Jeanjean WTA Barranquilla · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Katerina Siniakova
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Lanlana Tararudee WTA Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 25/10 | Ashlyn Krueger WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 24/10 | Katie Boulter WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Mary Stoiana WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 22/10 | Magda Linette WTA Osaka · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Ludmilla Samsonova WTA Wuhan · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 03/10 | Elina Svitolina WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Magda Linette WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Naomi Osaka US Open Women · Hard |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 01/09 | Elisabetta Cocciaretto US Open Women · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Claire Liu vs Katerina Siniakova?
Our model gives 61% to Katerina Siniakova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.