Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 28/10, 20:30
Prediction: Rafael De Alba vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Team pages: Rafael De Alba · Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Prediction summary
Winner
Rafael De Alba
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Estimated games
20.2
Recent form · 10 last
Rafael De Alba
1-9 (W-L)
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rafael De Alba 1429 · Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado 1479
| Rafael De Alba | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 59% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado (rating 1429 vs 1479).
Statistics
| Rafael De Alba | Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.5-1.8 | 0.9-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.9-12.8 | 8.9-10.2 |
| Aces | 2 | 0.9 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 58.5% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 24.2% | 45.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.2
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rafael De Alba
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Dev Javia M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Benjamin Lock M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Joao Dinis Silva M25 Sintra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Samuel De Felipe Garcia M15 Madrid |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 30/07 | Aditya Balsekar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 21/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Nav Dayal M15 Rancho Santa Fe |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 02/07 | Theodore Dean M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 01/07 | Youssef Kadiri Hassani M15 San Diego · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Jack McGary M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Julio Cesar Porras M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 28/09 | David Naharro M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Luis Garcia Paez M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
1-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Matt Kuhar M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 29/07 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 23/07 | Mwendwa Mbithi M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Kether Naresh Gonzalez Gonzalez M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 01/05 | Maxwell McKennon M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/04 | Volodymyr Gurenko M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard |
2-1 | 13-8 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rafael De Alba vs Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado?
Our model gives 52% to Rafael De Alba, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.