Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 28/10, 21:30
Prediction: Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra
Team pages: Rodrigo Alujas · Tarun Karra
Prediction summary
Winner
Rodrigo Alujas
Tarun Karra
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Rodrigo Alujas
4-6 (W-L)
Tarun Karra
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Rodrigo Alujas 1491 · Tarun Karra 1533
| Rodrigo Alujas | Tarun Karra | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 83% | 17% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Tarun Karra (rating 1491 vs 1533).
- Tarun Karra is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Rodrigo Alujas | Tarun Karra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (2) | 63% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.2 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-10.1 | 12.5-11.3 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3.6 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60.7% | 64% |
| Break % | 47.2% | 55.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Rodrigo Alujas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Marco Alvarez M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Petros Tsitsipas M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Max Houkes M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Calvin Hemery M25 Kigali |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Mehluli Don Ayanda Sibanda M25 Kigali |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/08 | Martin Antonio Vergara del Puerto M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Nicolas Garcia Longo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 30/07 | Alvin Nicholas Tudorica M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
Tarun Karra
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Joaquin Bianchi M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 26/10 | Patricio Llanes Echavarria M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 28/08 | Cyrus Ahmad UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 15-18 | W |
| 27/08 | Vincent Weaver UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Henrik Bladelius UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 24/08 | Aryan Jit Singh UTR Pro Clemson · Hard |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 26/07 | Keerthivassan Suresh UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
1-2 | 13-14 | L |
| 25/07 | Kevin Titus Suresh UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 23/07 | Sandesh Dattatray Kurale UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/07 | Ajay Malik UTR Pro Match Series · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Rodrigo Alujas vs Tarun Karra?
Our model gives 65% to Rodrigo Alujas, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.