Tennis · M15 Mazatlan · 28/10, 22:00
Prediction: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Joaquin Guilleme
Team pages: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas · Joaquin Guilleme
Prediction summary
Winner
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Joaquin Guilleme
Estimated games
19.3
Recent form · 10 last
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
2-8 (W-L)
Joaquin Guilleme
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas 1459 · Joaquin Guilleme 1516
| Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | Joaquin Guilleme | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 42% | 58% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Joaquin Guilleme (rating 1459 vs 1516).
- Joaquin Guilleme is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Note: Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas | Joaquin Guilleme | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.5 | 1.5-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7.1-10.3 | 11.7-8.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 54.9% | 73.1% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Antoine Voisin M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 08/10 | Alejandro Garcia M15 Pontevedra |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Mario Arce Fernandez M15 Pontevedra |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 05/10 | Luis Garcia Paez M15 Pontevedra |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/09 | Sander Jong M25 Sabadell · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Enrique Carrascosa Diaz M15 Madrid |
0-2 | 0-12 | L |
| 23/08 | Mateo Luis Alvarez Sarmiento M25 Oviedo |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Carlos Lopez Montagud M25 Santander |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Mikel Martinez M25 Santander |
0-2 | 4-9 | L |
| 24/03 | Hugo Ruiz Rodriguez M25 Tarragona · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Joaquin Guilleme
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Damien Salvestre M15 Mazatlan |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/07 | Keshav Chopra M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-1 | 5-7 | L |
| 24/07 | Matthew Thomson M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
1-2 | 18-17 | L |
| 23/07 | Marco Alvarez M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/07 | Andres Urrea M15 Huamantla · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 24/06 | Diego Dedura-Palomero M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 23/06 | Michael Zhu M25 Bakio · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/06 | Sergi Perez Contri M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 17/06 | Pietro Marino M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 16/06 | Niccolo Ciavarella M15 Mungia-Laukariz · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ian Luca Cervantes Tomas vs Joaquin Guilleme?
Our model gives 68% to Joaquin Guilleme, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.