Tennis · Challenger Sioux Falls · 29/10, 16:00
Prediction: Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov
Team pages: Liam Draxl · Daniil Ostapenkov
Prediction summary
Winner
Liam Draxl
Daniil Ostapenkov
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Liam Draxl
7-3 (W-L)
Daniil Ostapenkov
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Liam Draxl 1575 · Daniil Ostapenkov 1562
| Liam Draxl | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 77% | 23% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Liam Draxl dominates on serve: 7.1 aces and 56.2% break avg.
- Note: Daniil Ostapenkov makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Liam Draxl | Daniil Ostapenkov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 70% (10) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.7-12.1 | 11.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 7.1 | 3.8 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 68.7% |
| Break % | 56.2% | 51.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Liam Draxl
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tomasz Berkieta Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 17/10 | Martin Landaluce Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/10 | Tomas Machac Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 12-14 | W |
| 14/10 | James Duckworth Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Omar Jasika Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 11/10 | Yutong Du Challenger Jinan · Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 05/10 | Hugo Gaston ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/09 | Henry Searle Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
Daniil Ostapenkov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/10 | Ozan Baris Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 26/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
| 25/10 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Sioux Falls · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Albert Pedrico Kravtsov Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Abedallah Shelbayh Challenger Columbus · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Raphael Perot Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-1 | 13-13 | W |
| 28/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Ilija Palavestra Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/09 | Timo Legout Challenger San Diego · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Quinn Vandecasteele Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Liam Draxl vs Daniil Ostapenkov?
Our model gives 65% to Liam Draxl, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.