Tennis · M25 Norman · 28/10, 19:30
Prediction: Alec Deckers vs Marko Mesarovic
Team pages: Alec Deckers · Marko Mesarovic
Prediction summary
Winner
Alec Deckers
Marko Mesarovic
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alec Deckers
6-4 (W-L)
Marko Mesarovic
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alec Deckers 1602 · Marko Mesarovic 1535
| Alec Deckers | Marko Mesarovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 66% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alec Deckers (rating 1602 vs 1535).
- Alec Deckers dominates on serve: 11.4 aces and 44.1% break avg.
- Note: Alec Deckers makes many double faults (4/match).
Statistics
| Alec Deckers | Marko Mesarovic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 60% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.7 | 1.2-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.4-10.4 | 10.9-9.8 |
| Aces | 11.4 | 3.6 |
| Double faults | 4 | 2.5 |
| 1st serve % | 78.9% | 69.4% |
| Break % | 44.1% | 45.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alec Deckers
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Oliver Ojakaar M15 Ithaca |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Felix Roussel M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Joshua Adamson M15 Ithaca |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 27/09 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 26/09 | Philip Henning M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 25/09 | Diogo Morais M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/09 | Jake Fellows M25 Setubal |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 22/09 | Alberto Barroso Campos M25 Setubal |
2-1 | 18-14 | W |
| 18/09 | Tiago Cacao M25 Sintra |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 17/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Sintra |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Marko Mesarovic
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Niccolo Baroni M25 Norman |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 14/10 | Christopher Thies M15 Lexington |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 13/10 | Alejandro Moreno M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Oliver Bonding M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Danil Panarin M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 28/08 | Preston Stearns M15 Champaign |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 27/08 | Zachary Viiala M15 Champaign |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 25/08 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Champaign |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 13/08 | Nikita Filin M25 East Lansing |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alec Deckers vs Marko Mesarovic?
Our model gives 63% to Alec Deckers.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.