Tennis · ATP Vienna · 29/10, 12:00
Prediction: Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Berrettini
Team pages: Flavio Cobolli · Matteo Berrettini
Prediction summary
Winner
Flavio Cobolli
Matteo Berrettini
Estimated games
26.5Bet365 line 24.5
Recent form · 10 last
Flavio Cobolli
4-6 (W-L)
Matteo Berrettini
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Flavio Cobolli 1507 · Matteo Berrettini 1497
| Flavio Cobolli | Matteo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 47% | 53% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Flavio Cobolli | Matteo Berrettini | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (10) | 50% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-1.6 | 1.3-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 14.5-16.1 | 14.1-13.9 |
| Aces | 5.5 | 12.4 |
| Double faults | 3.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 72.3% | 78.6% |
| Break % | 33.5% | 30.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
26.5 · Bet365 line 24.5 · +2
Over 24.5: 63% · 1.83
Under 24.5: 37% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Flavio Cobolli
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Grigor Dimitrov ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 24/10 | Lorenzo Musetti ATP Lyon · Hard |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 22/10 | Stan Wawrinka ATP Lyon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Adrian Mannarino ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 10-16 | L |
| 01/10 | Roman Safiullin ATP Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 26/09 | Learner Tien Laver Cup · Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Alexander Blockx US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 13-24 | L |
| 03/09 | Tristan Schoolkate US Open · Hard |
3-1 | 22-18 | W |
| 01/09 | Francisco Comesana US Open · Hard |
3-2 | 23-23 | W |
Matteo Berrettini
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Tomas Martin Etcheverry ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/10 | Kyrian Jacquet ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 09/10 | Brandon Nakashima ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 03/10 | Adolfo Daniel Vallejo ATP Tokyo · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Alejandro Davidovich Fokina ATP Tokyo · Hard |
2-1 | 14-16 | W |
| 03/09 | Mariano Navone US Open · Hard |
1-3 | 19-22 | L |
| 31/08 | Stan Wawrinka US Open · Hard |
3-0 | 20-12 | W |
| 16/08 | Jiri Lehecka ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/08 | Titouan Droguet ATP Cincinnati · Hard |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Flavio Cobolli vs Matteo Berrettini?
Our model gives 51% to Matteo Berrettini, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.