Tennis · M25 Sheffield · 28/10, 14:00
Prediction: Paul Jubb vs Matt Ponchet
Team pages: Paul Jubb · Matt Ponchet
Prediction summary
Winner
Paul Jubb
Matt Ponchet
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Paul Jubb
7-3 (W-L)
Matt Ponchet
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Paul Jubb 1618 · Matt Ponchet 1472
| Paul Jubb | Matt Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 70% | 30% |
| Market | 90% | 10% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Paul Jubb (rating 1618 vs 1472).
- Paul Jubb is in better form: 90% recent wins.
Statistics
| Paul Jubb | Matt Ponchet | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (4) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.9-0.5 | 0.8-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.8-8.8 | 11-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.3 | 7.1 |
| Double faults | 2.5 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 73.4% | 75.9% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 35.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Paul Jubb
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Oscar Weightman M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/10 | Oliver Tarvet M25 Redbridge |
1-2 | 13-17 | L |
| 23/10 | Patrick Brady M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 22/10 | Hugo Grenier M25 Redbridge |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Roan Jones M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 20/10 | Patrick Foley M25 Redbridge |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Fares Zakaria M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-13 | W |
| 03/10 | Robert Strombachs M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/10 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/10 | Zangar Nurlanuly M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 10-5 | W |
Matt Ponchet
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Stijn Pel M25 Sheffield |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/10 | Arthur Nagel M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Theo Herrmann M25 Sarreguemines |
2-1 | 19-15 | W |
| 08/09 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/08 | Inaki Montes-De La Torre Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Marcus Walters Challenger Roehampton · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 31/07 | Conor Gannon M15 Dublin |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 30/07 | Ammar Elamin M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 29/07 | Melvin Kumar M15 Dublin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/07 | Marcel Zielinski Challenger Tampere · Clay |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Paul Jubb vs Matt Ponchet?
Our model gives 81% to Paul Jubb, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.