Tennis · M25 Norman · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Sander Jong vs Asahi Harazaki
Team pages: Sander Jong · Asahi Harazaki
Prediction summary
Winner
Sander Jong
Asahi Harazaki
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Sander Jong
5-5 (W-L)
Asahi Harazaki
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sander Jong 1581 · Asahi Harazaki 1574
| Sander Jong | Asahi Harazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 49% |
| Market | 73% | 27% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Statistics
| Sander Jong | Asahi Harazaki | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 83% (6) | 100% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.7-0.9 | 1.6-0.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.9-12 | 11.3-7.1 |
| Aces | 5.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st serve % | 74% | 71% |
| Break % | 37% | 54.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sander Jong
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Darwin Blanch Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 23/10 | Aidan Mayo Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 14-18 | W |
| 22/10 | Jeffrey John Wolf Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/10 | Lui Maxted Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 19/10 | Kenta Miyoshi Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 18-17 | W |
| 18/10 | Keegan Rice Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 03/10 | Alejandro Moro Canas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 02/10 | Lorenzo Carboni M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 01/10 | Michiel de Krom M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 30/09 | Roberto Perez Socas M25 Zaragoza · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
Asahi Harazaki
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Dragos Nicolae Cazacu UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/10 | Tomas Jirousek UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Tito Chavez UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Pablo Roche Alcaya UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 13/10 | Timothee Andriveau UTR Pro Norman · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Jonah Braswell M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 01/08 | Isaac Becroft M15 Bali |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 31/07 | Yusuke Takahashi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/07 | Jack Bruce-Smith M15 Bali |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/07 | Hikaru Shiraishi M15 Bali |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sander Jong vs Asahi Harazaki?
Our model gives 63% to Sander Jong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.