Tennis · M25 Norman · 28/10, 16:00
Prediction: Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov
Team pages: Theo Papamalamis · Alex Rybakov
Prediction summary
Winner
Theo Papamalamis
Alex Rybakov
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Theo Papamalamis
8-2 (W-L)
Alex Rybakov
9-1 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Theo Papamalamis
1–0
Alex Rybakov
(1 last)
- 11 Jan2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Theo Papamalamis 1637 · Alex Rybakov 1534
| Theo Papamalamis | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Theo Papamalamis (rating 1637 vs 1534).
- Theo Papamalamis is in better form: 90% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Theo Papamalamis 1–0 Alex Rybakov (1).
Statistics
| Theo Papamalamis | Alex Rybakov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 90% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.8-0.4 | 1.5-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-7.9 | 12-9.6 |
| Aces | 2.7 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 71% | 75.7% |
| Break % | 57% | 38.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
H2H · Theo Papamalamis 1 – 0 Alex Rybakov (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Theo Papamalamis 1–0 Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/01/25 ITF M25 Ithaca | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Theo Papamalamis
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Jack Anthrop M15 Lexington |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 17/10 | Nikola Slavic M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/10 | Johan Oscar Lien M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 15/10 | Hoyoung Roh M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Matei Cristian Onofrei M15 Lexington |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 04/10 | Dominick Mosejczuk M15 Fayetteville |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Alexander Rozin M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/10 | Aryan Shah M15 Fayetteville |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 01/10 | Tito Chavez M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Ben Weintraub M15 Fayetteville |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Alex Rybakov
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Gabriel Debru Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Gavin Young Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 19/10 | Bor Artnak Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Karl Poling Challenger Fort Worth · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 28/09 | Luca Staeheli Challenger Columbus · Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 27/09 | Matthew Forbes Challenger Columbus · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 21/09 | Ozan Baris Challenger San Diego · Hard |
1-2 | 13-13 | L |
| 20/09 | Karue Sell Challenger San Diego · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 14/09 | Ryan Seggerman Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 13/09 | Dan Martin Challenger Tiburon · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Theo Papamalamis vs Alex Rybakov?
Our model gives 56% to Theo Papamalamis, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.