Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 28/10, 08:00
Prediction: Matyas Kozlovsky vs Gilberto Ravasio
Team pages: Matyas Kozlovsky · Gilberto Ravasio
Prediction summary
Winner
Matyas Kozlovsky
Gilberto Ravasio
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Matyas Kozlovsky
7-3 (W-L)
Gilberto Ravasio
1-9 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Matyas Kozlovsky 1496 · Gilberto Ravasio 1391
| Matyas Kozlovsky | Gilberto Ravasio | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 49% | 51% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Matyas Kozlovsky (rating 1496 vs 1391).
- Matyas Kozlovsky is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Matyas Kozlovsky makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Gilberto Ravasio makes many double faults (5.9/match).
Statistics
| Matyas Kozlovsky | Gilberto Ravasio | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 10% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (1) | 0% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 0.4-1.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 6.9-12 |
| Aces | 3.2 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.9 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 56% |
| Break % | 41.6% | 44.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Matyas Kozlovsky
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Tyler Stice M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 26/08 | Pavlos Tsitsipas M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 11-13 | L |
| 16/08 | Javier Barranco Cosano Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 15/07 | Luca Staeheli M25 Kramsach |
1-2 | 8-17 | L |
| 13/07 | Alex Huszar M25 Kramsach |
2-1 | 12-11 | W |
| 05/07 | Stepan Mruzek UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 04/07 | Theo Coats UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-1 | 13-15 | W |
| 02/07 | Birtan Duran UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 01/07 | Radek Chodora UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Adam Jurajda UTR Pro Olomouc · Carpet |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Gilberto Ravasio
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Cesar Bouchelaghem M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M25 Zlatibor |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Nemanja Malesevic M25 Zlatibor |
2-1 | 11-8 | W |
| 18/08 | Federico Bove M25 Lesa |
1-2 | 10-9 | L |
| 29/07 | Yassine Smiej M25 Koszalin |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 21/07 | Andrea Tognolini M15 Segrate |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Lorenzo Beraldo M15 Gubbio |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/07 | Jakub Filip M15 Lodz |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/06 | Federico Arnaboldi M25 Milano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 27/05 | Gabriele Maria Noce M25 Grado · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Matyas Kozlovsky vs Gilberto Ravasio?
Our model gives 56% to Matyas Kozlovsky, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.