Prediction: Dmitry Popko vs Aleksander Chayka
Team pages: Dmitry Popko · Aleksander Chayka
Prediction summary
Winner
Dmitry Popko
Aleksander Chayka
Estimated games
21.1
Recent form · 10 last
Dmitry Popko
8-2 (W-L)
Aleksander Chayka
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dmitry Popko 1557 · Aleksander Chayka 1486
| Dmitry Popko | Aleksander Chayka | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 60% | 40% |
| Market | 89% | 11% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dmitry Popko (rating 1557 vs 1486).
- Dmitry Popko is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Aleksander Chayka makes many double faults (4.8/match).
Statistics
| Dmitry Popko | Aleksander Chayka | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 1.1-1.4 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-8.8 | 10.7-11.3 |
| Aces | 2 | 8.1 |
| Double faults | 2.4 | 4.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.7% | 71.1% |
| Break % | 44.9% | 39.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dmitry Popko
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Pierluigi Basile Challenger Florence · Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 18/10 | Daniele Rapagnetta Challenger Florence · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 03/10 | Stijn Paardekooper M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 27/09 | Michele Mecarelli M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 26/09 | Francesco Ferrari M15 Telavi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 20/09 | Dmitry Bessonov M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/09 | Ignacio Monzon M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 12/09 | Grigory Shebekin M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 06/09 | Branko Djuric M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 05/09 | Alexandre Aubriot M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Aleksander Chayka
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Ioannis Stamatopoulos M25 Malta |
2-1 | 11-9 | W |
| 28/09 | Jure Siftar M15 Sibenik |
1-2 | 10-11 | L |
| 22/09 | Jakub Vrtilka M25 Pardubice |
1-2 | 15-14 | L |
| 22/07 | Kalin Ivanovski M25 Ollersbach |
1-2 | 13-18 | L |
| 14/07 | Lambert Ruland M25 Kramsach |
0-2 | 6-11 | L |
| 05/02 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 04/02 | Andrey Dvortsov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 29/01 | Semen Pankin M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 28/01 | Carl Holder M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/12 | Toprak Avcibasi M15 Ceuta · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dmitry Popko vs Aleksander Chayka?
Our model gives 76% to Dmitry Popko, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.