Tennis · M25 Malta · 28/10, 10:00

Prediction: Philip Henning vs Xavi Matas Ortega

Team pages: Philip Henning

Prediction summary
Winner
76% 24%
Philip Henning Xavi Matas Ortega
Estimated games
20.4
Recent form · 10 last
Philip Henning 8-2 (W-L)
WWWLLWWWWW
Xavi Matas Ortega 6-4 (W-L)
WWLLWWLWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Philip Henning 1523 · Xavi Matas Ortega 1486
Philip HenningXavi Matas Ortega
Our model55%45%
Market93%7%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Philip Henning is in better form: 70% recent wins.

Statistics

Philip HenningXavi Matas Ortega
Win %70%40%
Win % · Hard 60% (5) 50% (2)
Sets (G-P)1.5-0.71.2-1.1
Games (G-P)12.5-9.79.8-8.6
Aces3.91.2
Double faults12
1st serve %70.3%65.4%
Break %44.1%47.3%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.4

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Philip Henning

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
25/10 Arthur Nagel
M25 Sarreguemines
1-2 12-16 L
24/10 Adrien Gobat
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 14-12 W
23/10 Louis Wessels
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 13-6 W
22/10 Antoine Walch
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 13-8 W
21/10 Robin Catry
M25 Sarreguemines
2-0 12-5 W
14/10 Dominic Stephan Stricker
Challenger Roanne · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
08/10 Borna Gojo
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 12-14 L
07/10 Maks Kasnikowski
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
05/10 Ivan Marrero Curbelo
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-5 W
04/10 Thijs Boogaard
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-1 18-12 W

Xavi Matas Ortega

LLWLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
27/10 Aleix Galindo Puig
M25 Malta
2-0 13-9 W
12/10 James Beaven
M15 Offenbach
0-2 5-12 L
11/10 Ramazan Kaan Oktay
M15 Offenbach
2-0 13-7 W
22/09 Kuzey Cekirge
M25 Sabadell · ~Clay
0-1 4-7 L
22/06 Joan Torres Espinosa
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
1-2 6-9 L
21/06 Rupert George
M25 Bakio · ~Hard
2-0 12-4 W
19/05 Noah Regas
M25 Mataro · ~Clay
1-2 11-10 L
13/05 Emilien Demanet
M25 Vic
1-2 12-16 L
12/05 Marc Martin Roca
M25 Vic
2-0 12-1 W
28/04 Benoit Torcq
M25 Castelldefels · ~Clay
1-2 10-11 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Philip Henning vs Xavi Matas Ortega?

Our model gives 76% to Philip Henning, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.