Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 29/10, 08:00
Prediction: Eva Bennemann vs Daria Egorova
Team pages: Eva Bennemann · Daria Egorova
Prediction summary
Winner
Eva Bennemann
Daria Egorova
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Eva Bennemann
4-6 (W-L)
Daria Egorova
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Eva Bennemann 1504 · Daria Egorova 1593
| Eva Bennemann | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 63% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Egorova (rating 1504 vs 1593).
- Daria Egorova is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Note: Daria Egorova makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Eva Bennemann | Daria Egorova | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 78% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1-1.1 | 1.7-0.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.7-10.5 | 12.4-7 |
| Aces | 0.3 | 1.5 |
| Double faults | 2.9 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 58.4% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 52.3% | 55.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Eva Bennemann
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Valeriia Iushchenko W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 13/10 | Lucie Nguyen Tan WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Matilde Paoletti W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Yasmin Ezzat W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Cagla Buyukakcay WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 08/09 | Katarzyna Kawa WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 27/08 | Nastasja Schunk W50 Oldenzaal |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Alena Kovackova W50 Oldenzaal |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Daria Egorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Valeria Garnevska W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Junhan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Varvara Panshina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Yiru Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Eva Bennemann vs Daria Egorova?
Our model gives 64% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.