Tennis · M15 Sharm El Sheikh · 28/10, 12:30
Prediction: Marat Salbiev vs Oskari Eerola
Team pages: Oskari Eerola
Prediction summary
Winner
Marat Salbiev
Oskari Eerola
Estimated games
19.6
Recent form · 10 last
Marat Salbiev
3-7 (W-L)
Oskari Eerola
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marat Salbiev 1459 · Oskari Eerola 1508
| Marat Salbiev | Oskari Eerola | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oskari Eerola (rating 1459 vs 1508).
- Note: Marat Salbiev makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Oskari Eerola makes many double faults (5.5/match).
Statistics
| Marat Salbiev | Oskari Eerola | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 56% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.7-1.5 | 1-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 8.6-11.3 | 8.7-9.5 |
| Aces | 0.8 | 4.7 |
| Double faults | 4 | 5.5 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 69.8% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 38.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marat Salbiev
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Hudson Baxter M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Sergey Petrov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Matteo Vavassori M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 09/09 | Martin Van Der Meerschen M15 Tsaghkadzor · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/09 | Chirag Duhan M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 03/09 | Brian Dal Zilio M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/09 | Kerem Yilmaz M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 26/08 | Michal Krajci M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 26/11 | Romain Faucon M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Oskari Eerola
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/10 | Martijn Molenkamp M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 07/10 | Jorge Plans M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sacha Bouillard M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/09 | Louis Herman M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 10/06 | Seydina Andre M15 Vaasa · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 20/05 | Samir Hamza Reguig M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/03 | Saveliy Ivanov M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 17/03 | Patrick Kotan M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/03 | Nikita Belozertsev M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 10/03 | Daniil Piatrouski M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marat Salbiev vs Oskari Eerola?
Our model gives 51% to Oskari Eerola, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.