Tennis · M15 Pembroke · 28/10, 17:00

Prediction: Volodymyr Gurenko vs Darian King

Team pages: Volodymyr Gurenko

Prediction summary
Winner
21% 79%
Volodymyr Gurenko Darian King
Estimated games
20.8
Recent form · 10 last
Volodymyr Gurenko 6-4 (W-L)
WWWLLLWWWL
Darian King 6-4 (W-L)
WWLWWLWLLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Volodymyr Gurenko 1461 · Darian King 1576
Volodymyr GurenkoDarian King
Our model34%66%
Market11%89%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Darian King (rating 1461 vs 1576).
  • Darian King is in better form: 80% recent wins.
  • Note: Volodymyr Gurenko makes many double faults (4.1/match).

Statistics

Volodymyr GurenkoDarian King
Win %30%80%
Win % · Hard 38% (8) 33% (3)
Sets (G-P)0.9-1.51.6-0.6
Games (G-P)9.9-12.311.7-7.7
Aces4.51.1
Double faults4.11
1st serve %63.9%66.5%
Break %38.5%49.5%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.8

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Volodymyr Gurenko

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
29/09 Neo Niedner
M15 Fayetteville
0-2 8-12 L
29/07 Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 14-18 L
27/07 Andres Rendon
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
2-0 12-3 W
22/07 Matthew Thomson
M15 Huamantla · ~Hard
1-2 13-15 L
12/07 Guillaume Dalmasso
Challenger Granby · Hard
0-2 8-12 L
07/07 Tristan Stringer
M25 Laval
0-2 7-13 L
10/06 Kaylan Bigun
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
09/06 Kyle Overmyer
M15 Los Angeles · ~Hard
2-0 13-9 W
30/04 Oswaldo Alejandro Reyes Tirado
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
1-2 8-13 L
29/04 Oliver Sanders
M15 Villahermosa · ~Hard
2-1 14-16 W

Darian King

WWLLW

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
13/10 Charlelie Cosnet
M15 Lexington
2-0 13-7 W
21/09 Timo Legout
Challenger San Diego · Hard
0-2 2-12 L
20/07 Masamichi Imamura
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
0-2 6-13 L
19/07 Noah Zamora
Challenger Bloomfield Hills · Hard
2-0 13-6 W
14/06 Yannik Alvarez
Davis Cup
2-1 18-14 W
13/06 Nicholas Gore
Davis Cup
2-0 12-1 W
12/06 Adrian Quiros Monterrey
Davis Cup
2-0 12-2 W
11/06 Ignacio Parisca Romera
Davis Cup
2-1 16-12 W
10/06 Juan Sebastian Dominguez Collado
Davis Cup
2-0 12-4 W
08/02 Juan Carlos Prado Angelo
Davis Cup
2-0 13-6 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Volodymyr Gurenko vs Darian King?

Our model gives 79% to Darian King, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.