Tennis · M15 Pembroke · 27/10, 17:00
Prediction: Alexander Bernard vs Nathan Cox
Team pages: Alexander Bernard · Nathan Cox
Prediction summary
Winner
Alexander Bernard
Nathan Cox
Estimated games
20.1
Recent form · 10 last
Alexander Bernard
8-2 (W-L)
Nathan Cox
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alexander Bernard
1–0
Nathan Cox
(1 last)
- 17 Jul2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alexander Bernard 1554 · Nathan Cox 1455
| Alexander Bernard | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 64% | 36% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Alexander Bernard (rating 1554 vs 1455).
- Alexander Bernard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Alexander Bernard 1–0 Nathan Cox (1).
Statistics
| Alexander Bernard | Nathan Cox | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 80% (5) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.6 | 0.9-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.5-8.1 | 10.1-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 2.6 | 2.4 |
| 1st serve % | 63% | 65% |
| Break % | 58.3% | 41.1% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.1
H2H · Alexander Bernard 1 – 0 Nathan Cox (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alexander Bernard 1–0 Nathan Cox
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17/07/25 M15 Rochester | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alexander Bernard
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/10 | Max Dahlin M15 Ann Arbor |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 30/09 | Gustavo Albieri M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 29/09 | Matisse Farzam M15 Ann Arbor |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 23/09 | John Hallquist Lithen M15 Columbia |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Max Stenzer M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 06/09 | Jakub Kroslak UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/09 | Salvador Price UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 04/09 | Elie Elie Azoulay UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 02/09 | Mattia Akcan UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 01/09 | Samuel Alejandro Linde Palacios UTR Pro Miami · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Nathan Cox
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/09 | Antonin Witz M15 Columbia |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 22/09 | Shu Matsuoka M15 Columbia |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 19/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Bautista De La Pena M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 10/08 | Mateo Del Pino M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
1-2 | 10-8 | L |
| 17/07 | Axel Nefve M15 Rochester |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 15/07 | Zac Hamill M15 Rochester |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/07 | Jonah Braswell M25 Dallas |
1-2 | 8-11 | L |
| 23/06 | Hiroki Sakagawa M15 Claremont · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-9 | L |
| 18/06 | Neo Niedner M15 Irvine · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alexander Bernard vs Nathan Cox?
Our model gives 67% to Alexander Bernard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.