Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 27/10, 19:00
Prediction: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Connie Ma
Team pages: Sonja Zhiyenbayeva · Connie Ma
Prediction summary
Winner
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
Connie Ma
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
5-5 (W-L)
Connie Ma
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sonja Zhiyenbayeva 1540 · Connie Ma 1604
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Connie Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 59% |
| Market | 28% | 72% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Connie Ma (rating 1540 vs 1604).
Statistics
| Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | Connie Ma | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 67% (3) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-10.8 | 11.6-7.6 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3.4 | 3.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.3% | 61.7% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 61.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Austin |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 29/09 | Xiyu Wang Asian Games |
1-2 | 8-16 | L |
| 23/09 | Jessica Bouzas Maneiro Billie Jean King Cup · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Yufei Ren W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 15/08 | Matilde Jorge W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 14/08 | Daria Khomutsianskaya W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/08 | Ekaterina Yashina W35 Vigo |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 12/08 | Julie Struplova W35 Vigo |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 09/08 | Isabella Shinikova W75 Ourense |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 08/08 | Rina Saigo W75 Ourense |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Connie Ma
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Hanna Chang W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/10 | Astra Sharma W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 23/10 | Diletta Cherubini W35 Bakersfield · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 18/10 | Annika Penickova W35 Redding |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 18/10 | Lea Ma W35 Redding |
2-1 | 14-15 | W |
| 17/10 | Maria Sholokhova W35 Redding |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 15/10 | Jo Yee Chan W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 13/10 | Victoria Rodriguez W35 Redding |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Janae Preston W50 Berkeley |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Akasha Urhobo W50 Berkeley |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sonja Zhiyenbayeva vs Connie Ma?
Our model gives 66% to Connie Ma, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.