Tennis · W100 New Braunfels · 28/10, 19:00
Prediction: Ella Mcdonald vs Elvina Kalieva
Team pages: Ella Mcdonald · Elvina Kalieva
Prediction summary
Winner
Ella Mcdonald
Elvina Kalieva
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Ella Mcdonald
9-1 (W-L)
Elvina Kalieva
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Ella Mcdonald
0–1
Elvina Kalieva
(1 last)
- 23 Jun1-2 16-16L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ella Mcdonald 1676 · Elvina Kalieva 1518
| Ella Mcdonald | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 71% | 29% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ella Mcdonald (rating 1676 vs 1518).
- Ella Mcdonald is in better form: 100% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Ella Mcdonald 0–1 Elvina Kalieva (1).
- Note: Ella Mcdonald makes many double faults (4.7/match).
- Note: Elvina Kalieva makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Ella Mcdonald | Elvina Kalieva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 100% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 2-0.2 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 13.1-6.8 | 11-11.9 |
| Aces | 2 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 4.1 |
| 1st serve % | 65.8% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 50.8% | 49.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Ella Mcdonald 0 – 1 Elvina Kalieva (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ella Mcdonald 0–1 Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/26 Wimbledon Women | 1-2 | 16-16 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ella Mcdonald
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Madison Brengle W50 Austin |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 23/10 | Anastasia Tikhonova W50 Austin |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 22/10 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W50 Austin |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 21/10 | Rose Marie Nijkamp W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 20/10 | Iryna Shymanovich W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 19/10 | Mathilde Ngijol Carre W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Kate Fakih W50 Austin |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 02/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Whitney Osuigwe W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 30/09 | Savannah Broadus W100 Templeton |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
Elvina Kalieva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/10 | Kristina Penickova W100 Edmond |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 15/10 | Savannah Broadus W100 Edmond |
2-1 | 19-16 | W |
| 10/10 | Kyoka Okamura WTA Suzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Aliaksandra Sasnovich WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 08/10 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 05/10 | Yexin Ma WTA Suzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Viktorija Golubic WTA Beijing · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 29/09 | Han Shi WTA Beijing · Hard |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 28/09 | Ellen Perez WTA Beijing · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Katie Volynets WTA Seoul · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ella Mcdonald vs Elvina Kalieva?
Our model gives 62% to Ella Mcdonald, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.