Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Marine Szostak vs Julia Stusek
Team pages: Marine Szostak · Julia Stusek
Prediction summary
Winner
Marine Szostak
Julia Stusek
Estimated games
19.7
Recent form · 10 last
Marine Szostak
6-4 (W-L)
Julia Stusek
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Marine Szostak 1555 · Julia Stusek 1467
| Marine Szostak | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 62% | 38% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Marine Szostak (rating 1555 vs 1467).
- Note: Julia Stusek makes many double faults (5/match).
Statistics
| Marine Szostak | Julia Stusek | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 100% (2) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.1-8.3 | 8.2-10.8 |
| Aces | 1.9 | 0.3 |
| Double faults | 3.7 | 5 |
| 1st serve % | 61.4% | 54.1% |
| Break % | 42.4% | 35.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Marine Szostak
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Francoise Abanda W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 25/10 | Delia Gaillard W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 19/10 | Diana Martynov W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Delia Gaillard W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Jana Otzipka W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Margaux Komano W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 04/10 | Leila Fabbri W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 01/10 | Tessa Johanna Brockmann W35 Reims |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Milena Ciocan W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/09 | Mathilde Lollia W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Julia Stusek
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Veronika Podrez W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 08/10 | Jana Otzipka W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Kaat Coppez W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 16/09 | Camilla Gennaro W35 Santa Margherita · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 06/09 | Martina Trevisan WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Emma Lene W35 Verbier |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Urszula Radwanska W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 26/08 | Ana Grubor W35 Verbier |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 29/07 | Paula Cembranos W75 Hechingen |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 22/07 | Tamara Korpatsch WTA Hamburg · Clay |
1-2 | 9-15 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Marine Szostak vs Julia Stusek?
Our model gives 51% to Julia Stusek, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.