Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 27/10, 09:30
Prediction: Daria Egorova vs Valeria Garnevska
Team pages: Daria Egorova · Valeria Garnevska
Prediction summary
Winner
Daria Egorova
Valeria Garnevska
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Daria Egorova
7-3 (W-L)
Valeria Garnevska
3-7 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Daria Egorova 1592 · Valeria Garnevska 1468
| Daria Egorova | Valeria Garnevska | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 33% |
| Market | 92% | 8% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daria Egorova (rating 1592 vs 1468).
- Daria Egorova is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Daria Egorova makes many double faults (5.8/match).
Statistics
| Daria Egorova | Valeria Garnevska | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 78% (9) | – |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.7 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.1-8.1 | 9.6-9.9 |
| Aces | 1.3 | 0.5 |
| Double faults | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| 1st serve % | 65.6% | 54.7% |
| Break % | 52% | 65.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Daria Egorova
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Junhan Zhang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 10/10 | Varvara Panshina W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 09/10 | Yiru Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Meiqi Guo W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Xiaowei Li W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Guyu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 29/09 | Kristiana Sidorova WTA Jingshan · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Elena Pridankina WTA Ankara · Hard |
1-2 | 17-15 | L |
| 21/09 | Melisa Ercan WTA Ankara · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 07/08 | Ana Sofia Sanchez W35 Chacabuco |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
Valeria Garnevska
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Ksenia Smirnova W50 Istanbul |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Daniella Dimitrova W50 Stara Zagora |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Monika Gospodinova W50 Stara Zagora |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 06/10 | Sonja Zhenikhova W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Sapfo Sakellaridi W15 Varna |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 01/10 | Adriana Tkachenko W15 Varna |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 24/09 | Anja Stankovic W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Julia Stamatova W50 Plovdiv |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 11/09 | Giulia Safina Popa W15 Campulung |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 10/09 | Andreea Prisacariu W15 Campulung |
2-0 | 7-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Daria Egorova vs Valeria Garnevska?
Our model gives 81% to Daria Egorova, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.