Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 28/10, 08:00
Prediction: Lia Karatancheva vs Nastasja Schunk
Team pages: Lia Karatancheva · Nastasja Schunk
Prediction summary
Winner
Lia Karatancheva
Nastasja Schunk
Estimated games
20.7
Recent form · 10 last
Lia Karatancheva
4-6 (W-L)
Nastasja Schunk
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Lia Karatancheva
2–0
Nastasja Schunk
(2 last)
- 21 May2-1 18-13W
- 31 Mar2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lia Karatancheva 1449 · Nastasja Schunk 1530
| Lia Karatancheva | Nastasja Schunk | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 22% | 78% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nastasja Schunk (rating 1449 vs 1530).
- Nastasja Schunk is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Lia Karatancheva 2–0 Nastasja Schunk (2).
Statistics
| Lia Karatancheva | Nastasja Schunk | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 0% (4) | 67% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.7 | 1.3-0.8 |
| Games (G-P) | 9-12.1 | 10.1-9.5 |
| Aces | 1 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 52.9% | 62.6% |
| Break % | 46.4% | 40% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.7
H2H · Lia Karatancheva 2 – 0 Nastasja Schunk (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Lia Karatancheva 2–0 Nastasja Schunk
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/25 W75 Kursumlijska Banja | 2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 31/03/25 WTA Antalya | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lia Karatancheva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | Ida Wobker WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 07/10 | Luisina Giovannini W50 Burgas |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/09 | Ipek Oz W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 16/09 | Beatrise Zeltina W50 Pazardzhik |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 15/09 | Jule Niemeier W50 Pazardzhik |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 02/09 | Federica Urgesi W50 Saint-Palais-sur-Mer |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Ksenia Zaytseva W50 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-18 | L |
| 16/08 | Ikumi Yamazaki W75 Kursumlijska Banja Qual · ~Clay |
1-2 | 16-15 | L |
| 11/08 | Lisa Zaar W75 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-10 | L |
Nastasja Schunk
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Francisca Jorge W50 Cherbourg |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 20/10 | Valentina Steiner W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 08/10 | Emma Lene W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Marie Weckerle W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/09 | Irene Burillo Escorihuela WTA Valencia · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 15/09 | Oksana Selekhmeteva WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 14/09 | Dalila Jakupovic WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 08/09 | Alicia Herrero Linana WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Tena Lukas WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Ceylin Oz WTA Antalya · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lia Karatancheva vs Nastasja Schunk?
Our model gives 71% to Nastasja Schunk, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.