Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 27/10, 08:00
Prediction: Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Team pages: Raluca Georgiana Serban · Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Prediction summary
Winner
Raluca Georgiana Serban
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Estimated games
22.3
Recent form · 10 last
Raluca Georgiana Serban
5-5 (W-L)
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Raluca Georgiana Serban 1498 · Ekaterina Tupitsyna 1579
| Raluca Georgiana Serban | Ekaterina Tupitsyna | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 38% | 63% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Tupitsyna (rating 1498 vs 1579).
- Ekaterina Tupitsyna is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Raluca Georgiana Serban makes many double faults (8.9/match).
- Note: Ekaterina Tupitsyna makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Raluca Georgiana Serban | Ekaterina Tupitsyna | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 50% (6) | 50% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.1-1.3 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.8-11.6 | 12.3-9.8 |
| Aces | 1.4 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 8.9 | 8.3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 64.5% |
| Break % | 48.3% | 62.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.3
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Raluca Georgiana Serban
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/10 | Leyre Romero Gormaz WTA Lisbon · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Analu Freitas WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 12/10 | Sara Cakarevic WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Sarah Van Emst WTA Lisbon · Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 08/10 | Jennifer Ruggeri W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-19 | L |
| 07/10 | Lara Schmidt W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 9-5 | W |
| 23/09 | Gaia Maduzzi W50 Plovdiv |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 14/09 | Lea Boskovic WTA Ljubljana · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 08/09 | Francesca Jones WTA Antalya · Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Anastasia Zolotareva W50 Prague |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Doga Turkmen W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 25/10 | Minel Naz Kaynak W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Jenny Lim W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Raluca Georgiana Serban vs Ekaterina Tupitsyna?
Our model gives 62% to Ekaterina Tupitsyna, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.