Tennis · M25 Malta · 28/10, 10:00

Prediction: Petros Tsitsipas vs Georgii Kravchenko

Team pages: Petros Tsitsipas · Georgii Kravchenko

Prediction summary
Winner
24% 76%
Petros Tsitsipas Georgii Kravchenko
Estimated games
21.9
Recent form · 10 last
Petros Tsitsipas 4-6 (W-L)
LWWLWLLWLL
Georgii Kravchenko 6-4 (W-L)
WLWWWLWWLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Petros Tsitsipas 1456 · Georgii Kravchenko 1542
Petros TsitsipasGeorgii Kravchenko
Our model38%62%
Market12%88%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Georgii Kravchenko (rating 1456 vs 1542).
  • Georgii Kravchenko is in better form: 60% recent wins.
  • Note: Petros Tsitsipas makes many double faults (4.8/match).

Statistics

Petros TsitsipasGeorgii Kravchenko
Win %30%60%
Win % · Hard 25% (4) 63% (8)
Sets (G-P)0.8-1.41.4-0.9
Games (G-P)9.3-11.712.2-10.5
Aces5.23.1
Double faults4.81.2
1st serve %68.4%70.2%
Break %46.7%36.4%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Petros Tsitsipas

LLWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Amit Vales
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 6-13 L
16/10 Jip Van Assendelft
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
13/10 Rodrigo Alujas
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
2-0 12-8 W
07/10 Mathys Domenc
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
0-2 2-7 L
01/10 Sebastian Gima
M25 Slobozia
0-2 7-12 L
30/09 Louis Wessels
M25 Slobozia
2-0 13-10 W
25/09 Jiri Cizek
M25 Pardubice
1-2 15-17 L
23/09 Oleksii Krutykh
M25 Pardubice
2-0 13-10 W
08/09 Maxence Rivet
M25 Rabat · ~Clay
1-2 13-15 L
02/09 Arthur Nagel
M25 Casablanca · ~Clay
0-2 4-12 L

Georgii Kravchenko

LWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
15/10 Tom Gentzsch
Challenger Olbia · Hard
1-2 13-15 L
13/10 Laurent Lokoli
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-1 20-18 W
12/10 Daniel Masur
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-0 13-9 W
11/10 Alexander Donski
Challenger Olbia · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
07/10 Damir Dzumhur
Challenger Villena · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
05/10 Hugo Grenier
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 13-10 W
04/10 Sergi Fita Juan
Challenger Villena · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
27/09 Goncalo Marques
Challenger Porto · Hard
1-2 13-14 L
23/09 Giorgio Tabacco
M25 Setubal
0-2 5-12 L
20/09 Melios Efstathiou
Davis Cup
2-0 12-1 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Petros Tsitsipas vs Georgii Kravchenko?

Our model gives 76% to Georgii Kravchenko, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.