Tennis · M25 Malta · 28/10, 10:00

Prediction: Nino Ehrenschneider vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Team pages: Nino Ehrenschneider · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

Prediction summary
Winner
69% 31%
Nino Ehrenschneider Mario Gonzalez Fernandez
Estimated games
21.3
Recent form · 10 last
Nino Ehrenschneider 7-3 (W-L)
LWWLLWWWWW
Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 3-7 (W-L)
LWWWLLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Nino Ehrenschneider 1599 · Mario Gonzalez Fernandez 1461
Nino EhrenschneiderMario Gonzalez Fernandez
Our model69%31%
Market69%31%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nino Ehrenschneider (rating 1599 vs 1461).
  • Nino Ehrenschneider is in better form: 80% recent wins.

Statistics

Nino EhrenschneiderMario Gonzalez Fernandez
Win %80%30%
Win % · Hard 89% (9) 43% (7)
Sets (G-P)1.8-0.80.7-1.4
Games (G-P)13.2-8.89.2-11.7
Aces4.80.2
Double faults3.12.4
1st serve %74.3%61.4%
Break %56.5%40.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 21.3

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Nino Ehrenschneider

WWWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
10/10 Mert Alkaya
M25 Luan · ~Hard
1-2 13-14 L
09/10 Yuta Tomida
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
08/10 Mukund Sasikumar
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 13-6 W
07/10 Qian Sun
M25 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 17-14 W
04/10 Isaac Becroft
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 15-12 W
03/10 Ryuki Matsuda
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 14-11 W
02/10 Taisei Ichikawa
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-1 13-10 W
01/10 James Van Herzeele
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-2 W
30/09 Tomohiro Masabayashi
M15 Luan · ~Hard
2-0 12-1 W
23/09 Chase Ferguson
M25 Yinchuan
1-2 11-13 L

Mario Gonzalez Fernandez

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/10 Viktor Durasovic
Challenger Olbia · Hard
0-2 11-14 L
27/09 Marko Topo
Challenger Porto · Hard
1-2 13-18 L
22/09 Giulio Perego
M25 Setubal
0-2 5-12 L
13/09 Nikita Mashtakov
Challenger Szczecin · Clay
0-2 6-13 L
06/09 Pavel Lagutin
Challenger Seville · Clay
0-2 7-12 L
26/08 Rodrigo Pacheco Mendez
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 6-12 L
25/08 Mitchell Krueger
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 14-11 W
24/08 Matt Kuhar
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 13-7 W
23/08 Calum Puttergill
Challenger Kingston · Hard
2-0 12-6 W
16/08 Roger Pascual Ferra
Challenger Kingston · Hard
0-2 5-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Nino Ehrenschneider vs Mario Gonzalez Fernandez?

Our model gives 69% to Nino Ehrenschneider, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.