Prediction: Aleksandr Braynin vs Nikolai Barsukov
Team pages: Aleksandr Braynin · Nikolai Barsukov
Prediction summary
Winner
Aleksandr Braynin
Nikolai Barsukov
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Aleksandr Braynin
7-3 (W-L)
Nikolai Barsukov
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Aleksandr Braynin 1445 · Nikolai Barsukov 1493
| Aleksandr Braynin | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 57% |
| Market | 54% | 46% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Nikolai Barsukov (rating 1445 vs 1493).
- Nikolai Barsukov is in better form: 50% recent wins.
- Note: Nikolai Barsukov makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Aleksandr Braynin | Nikolai Barsukov | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | 0% (1) | 0% (2) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.6 | 1-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.4-13.1 | 11-11.1 |
| Aces | 4.6 | 7.8 |
| Double faults | 3.5 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 69.3% | 72.3% |
| Break % | 44.4% | 28.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Aleksandr Braynin
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10 | Guillaume Dalmasso M15 Offenbach |
1-2 | 16-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Julien Penzlin M15 Rodez |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 07/10 | Hugo Cardinaud M15 Rodez |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 22/09 | Wojciech Marek M25 Falun |
1-2 | 14-14 | L |
| 06/09 | Radu Albot Challenger Istanbul · Hard |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 01/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Heorhii Shylov M15 Vienna |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 26/08 | Paul Schmid M15 Vienna |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 16/08 | Rudolf Molleker Challenger Prague · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 02/08 | Tommaso Compagnucci Challenger Hagen · Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
Nikolai Barsukov
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10 | Yaojie Zeng M25 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 30/09 | Taiyo Yamanaka M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Alexandr Binda M25 Yinchuan |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 23/09 | Seonyong Han M25 Yinchuan |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 19/09 | Alibek Kachmazov M25 Guiyang |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 18/09 | Nino Ehrenschneider M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 17/09 | Yue Xia M25 Guiyang |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 15/09 | Yuquan Jin M25 Guiyang |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 03/09 | Romain Faucon M25 Meerbusch |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Christian Djonov M25 Meerbusch |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Aleksandr Braynin vs Nikolai Barsukov?
Our model gives 51% to Nikolai Barsukov, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.