Prediction: Mathieu Scaglia vs Daniel Masur
Team pages: Mathieu Scaglia · Daniel Masur
Prediction summary
Winner
Mathieu Scaglia
Daniel Masur
Estimated games
23.5
Recent form · 10 last
Mathieu Scaglia
3-7 (W-L)
Daniel Masur
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mathieu Scaglia 1486 · Daniel Masur 1566
| Mathieu Scaglia | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 11% | 89% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Daniel Masur (rating 1486 vs 1566).
- Daniel Masur dominates on serve: 7.9 aces and 40.9% break avg.
- Note: Mathieu Scaglia makes many double faults (4.1/match).
Statistics
| Mathieu Scaglia | Daniel Masur | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 43% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.4 | 1.5-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 12-12.4 | 13.5-11.1 |
| Aces | 3.5 | 7.9 |
| Double faults | 4.1 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.5% | 75% |
| Break % | 52.8% | 40.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mathieu Scaglia
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/10 | Luka Talan Lopatic M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Finn Murgett M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-16 | L |
| 07/10 | Henri Haupt M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/09 | Lucca Liu M15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 08/09 | Robin Bertrand Challenger Cassis · Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 07/09 | Pierre Antoine Tailleu Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/09 | Amit Vales Challenger Cassis · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 28/08 | Pierre Delage M15 Cap d'Agde |
1-2 | 15-15 | L |
| 27/08 | Jaume Casas Blasi M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 25/08 | Nazim Makhlouf M15 Cap d'Agde |
2-1 | 15-9 | W |
Daniel Masur
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Adrien Gobat M25 Sarreguemines |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 22/10 | Yanis Ghazouani Durand M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/10 | Mickael Kaouk M25 Sarreguemines |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 12/10 | Georgii Kravchenko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Sebastian Dominko Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Murphy Cassone Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 24/09 | Matteo Martineau Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 17-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Moez Echargui Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 21/09 | Maxime Janvier Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 20/09 | Leonardo Rossi Challenger Saint-Tropez · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mathieu Scaglia vs Daniel Masur?
Our model gives 77% to Daniel Masur, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.