Tennis · M15 Heraklion · 28/10, 09:00

Prediction: Alexandre Reco vs Pablo Perez Ramos

Team pages: Alexandre Reco · Pablo Perez Ramos

Prediction summary
Winner
54% 46%
Alexandre Reco Pablo Perez Ramos
Estimated games
22
Recent form · 10 last
Alexandre Reco 5-5 (W-L)
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Pablo Perez Ramos 7-3 (W-L)
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Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Alexandre Reco 1514 · Pablo Perez Ramos 1533
Alexandre RecoPablo Perez Ramos
Our model47%53%
Market59%41%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Alexandre RecoPablo Perez Ramos
Win %60%60%
Win % · Hard 50% (4) 67% (3)
Sets (G-P)1.3-11.4-0.9
Games (G-P)12.1-10.611.5-10.8
Aces3.67.8
Double faults2.93.1
1st serve %71%72.8%
Break %39.5%38%
Estimated total games (ours) 22

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Alexandre Reco

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Jeremy Gschwendtner
M15 Heraklion · ~Hard
1-2 16-18 L
08/10 Jelle Sels
M15 Rodez
0-2 8-12 L
07/10 Romain Andres
M15 Rodez
2-1 17-16 W
29/09 Remy Bertola
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
0-2 7-12 L
28/09 Patrick Zahraj
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 13-8 W
27/09 Justin Boulais
Challenger Mouilleron le Captif · Hard
2-0 12-8 W
19/09 Aidan Mchugh
M25 Nevers
0-2 9-13 L
18/09 Etienne Donnet
M25 Nevers
2-1 15-11 W
17/09 Damien Clerc
M25 Nevers
2-0 12-4 W
16/09 Melvin Kumar
M25 Nevers
2-0 12-4 W

Pablo Perez Ramos

WLWWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
11/09 Alexander Chang
M15 Bali
0-2 1-12 L
10/09 Arjun Mehrotra
M15 Bali
2-1 16-12 W
08/09 Corban Crowther
M15 Bali
2-0 12-7 W
04/08 Hugo Coquelin
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
0-2 8-12 L
03/08 Vincent Reisach
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 13-10 W
02/08 Thomas Drayton
M25 Roehampton · ~Hard
2-0 12-6 W
28/07 Markus Molder
M15 Dublin
1-2 15-17 L
19/07 Tiago Cacao
M15 Castelo Branco
1-2 14-16 L
18/07 Maxwell McKennon
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-8 W
17/07 Rafael Izquierdo Luque
M15 Castelo Branco
2-0 12-8 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Alexandre Reco vs Pablo Perez Ramos?

Our model gives 54% to Alexandre Reco, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.