Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Francesca Curmi vs Astrid Cirotte
Team pages: Francesca Curmi · Astrid Cirotte
Prediction summary
Winner
Francesca Curmi
Astrid Cirotte
Estimated games
22.6
Recent form · 10 last
Francesca Curmi
5-5 (W-L)
Astrid Cirotte
8-2 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Francesca Curmi
1–0
Astrid Cirotte
(1 last)
- 11 Jun2-0 12-4W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Francesca Curmi 1533 · Astrid Cirotte 1613
| Francesca Curmi | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Astrid Cirotte (rating 1533 vs 1613).
- Head-to-head: Francesca Curmi 1–0 Astrid Cirotte (1).
Statistics
| Francesca Curmi | Astrid Cirotte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (3) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.2 | 1.8-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.4-10.4 | 13.1-10.1 |
| Aces | 0.7 | 1.9 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 3.2 |
| 1st serve % | 59.5% | 60.9% |
| Break % | 60.2% | 57% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.6
H2H · Francesca Curmi 1 – 0 Astrid Cirotte (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Francesca Curmi 1–0 Astrid Cirotte
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/06/22 W15 Monastir | 2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Francesca Curmi
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Ariana Geerlings WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Elizara Yaneva WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Marina Bassols Ribera WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 12/10 | Eva Vedder WTA Mallorca · Clay |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 09/10 | Alisa Oktiabreva W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 08/10 | Miriam Bulgaru W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Maayan Laron W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/09 | Joelle Lilly Sophie Steur WTA Valencia · Clay |
1-2 | 14-18 | L |
| 14/09 | Veronika Erjavec WTA Valencia · Clay |
2-1 | 14-9 | W |
| 07/09 | Nuria Brancaccio WTA Montreux · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Astrid Cirotte
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 16/10 | Ru Xi Wu W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 15/10 | Ksenia Laskutova W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 14/10 | Julia Khramtsova W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/10 | Kamonwan Yodpetch W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/10 | Sevil Yuldasheva W15 Islamabad · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Sarina Schnyder W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 29/09 | Alexia Trasca W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/09 | Ekaterina Dotsenko W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Francesca Curmi vs Astrid Cirotte?
Our model gives 64% to Francesca Curmi, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.