Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 28/10, 10:00
Prediction: Manon Leonard vs Amandine Hesse
Team pages: Manon Leonard · Amandine Hesse
Prediction summary
Winner
Manon Leonard
Amandine Hesse
Estimated games
19.2
Recent form · 10 last
Manon Leonard
7-3 (W-L)
Amandine Hesse
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Manon Leonard
1–0
Amandine Hesse
(1 last)
- 06 Mar2-0 12-6W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Manon Leonard 1585 · Amandine Hesse 1467
| Manon Leonard | Amandine Hesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 66% | 34% |
| Market | 69% | 31% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Manon Leonard (rating 1585 vs 1467).
- Manon Leonard is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Manon Leonard 1–0 Amandine Hesse (1).
Statistics
| Manon Leonard | Amandine Hesse | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 40% |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.7 | 0.8-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 11-8.7 | 8.1-9 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.5 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 3.8 |
| 1st serve % | 60% | 62.4% |
| Break % | 43.3% | 34.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.2
H2H · Manon Leonard 1 – 0 Amandine Hesse (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Manon Leonard 1–0 Amandine Hesse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/03/24 ITF W35 Solarino | 2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Manon Leonard
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Katarina Zavatska W50 Cherbourg |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 23/10 | Jessika Ponchet W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 22/10 | Sada Nahimana W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 21/10 | Salma Djoubri W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 17/10 | Alicia Dudeney W35 Birmingham |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Jessika Ponchet W35 Birmingham |
2-1 | 18-15 | W |
| 15/10 | Jodie Anna Burrage W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 14/10 | Esther Adeshina W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 13/10 | Stephanie Judith Visscher W35 Birmingham |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 06/10 | Mariella Thamm W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
Amandine Hesse
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Francisca Jorge W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Julie Myatovic W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 11/10 | Maria Garcia Cid WTA Mallorca · Clay |
0-2 | 3-11 | L |
| 06/10 | Katerina Tsygourova W35 Seville |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 03/10 | Charo Esquiva Banuls W35 Baza |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/10 | Cadence Brace W35 Baza |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Laura Hietaranta W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 30/09 | Arina Arifullina W35 Baza |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 23/09 | Margaux Rouvroy W50 Yecla |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/09 | Carson Tanguilig W75 Le Neubourg |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Manon Leonard vs Amandine Hesse?
Our model gives 68% to Manon Leonard, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.