Tennis · M15 Singapore · 28/10, 03:00
Prediction: Adhithya Ganesan vs Ren Nakamura
Team pages: Adhithya Ganesan · Ren Nakamura
Prediction summary
Winner
Adhithya Ganesan
Ren Nakamura
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Adhithya Ganesan
4-6 (W-L)
Ren Nakamura
2-8 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Adhithya Ganesan 1468 · Ren Nakamura 1466
| Adhithya Ganesan | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Adhithya Ganesan makes many double faults (4.4/match).
Statistics
| Adhithya Ganesan | Ren Nakamura | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 25% (4) | 33% (6) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.5 | 0.6-1.5 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.7-12.7 | 7.3-10.5 |
| Aces | 4.1 | 2.4 |
| Double faults | 4.4 | 2 |
| 1st serve % | 63.4% | 59.2% |
| Break % | 41.3% | 29% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Adhithya Ganesan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/10 | Digvijay Pratap Singh M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 20/10 | Hitesh Chauhan M25 Mumbai · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 16/10 | Karan Singh M25 Solapur |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 15/10 | Maan Kesharwani M25 Solapur |
2-1 | 18-11 | W |
| 14/10 | Aziz Ouakaa M25 Solapur |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 29/09 | Micah Braswell M15 Ann Arbor |
1-2 | 17-18 | L |
| 13/09 | Max Schoenhaus Challenger Rennes · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Toby Martin M25 Plaisir |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/09 | Benjamin Pietri M25 Bagneres-de-Bigorre |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 14/07 | Tyler Zink Challenger Granby · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
Ren Nakamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Hong-Lin Fu M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Allen Leong M15 Singapore Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Azuma Visaya M15 Bali |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Bali Qual |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Adhithya Ganesan vs Ren Nakamura?
Our model gives 66% to Adhithya Ganesan, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.