Tennis · M15 Singapore · 28/10, 03:00
Prediction: Lorenzo Lorusso vs Daisuke Sumizawa
Team pages: Lorenzo Lorusso · Daisuke Sumizawa
Prediction summary
Winner
Lorenzo Lorusso
Daisuke Sumizawa
Estimated games
21
Recent form · 10 last
Lorenzo Lorusso
6-4 (W-L)
Daisuke Sumizawa
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Lorenzo Lorusso 1499 · Daisuke Sumizawa 1505
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Daisuke Sumizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 49% | 51% |
| Market | 56% | 44% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Lorenzo Lorusso makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Lorenzo Lorusso | Daisuke Sumizawa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 40% (5) | 57% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.1 | 0.9-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 10.7-11.9 | 10-9.6 |
| Aces | 8.7 | 5.6 |
| Double faults | 4.7 | 3.1 |
| 1st serve % | 73.5% | 74.7% |
| Break % | 39.6% | 41.3% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Lorenzo Lorusso
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Azuma Visaya M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-15 | W |
| 21/10 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 30/09 | Amr Asrawy M15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 11-17 | L |
| 23/09 | Niklas Waldner M25 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 12/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
1-2 | 9-17 | L |
| 11/09 | Conor Gannon M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Makar Krivoshchekov M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 09/09 | Aleksandre Bakshi M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 02/09 | Omar Kandil M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Daisuke Sumizawa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Adithya Suresh M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 25/10 | Yao Hui Dylan Chan M15 Singapore Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 13/09 | Kousuke Ogura Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
0-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 10/09 | Markus Malaszszak M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 09/09 | Vraj Gohil M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 03/09 | Mukund Sasikumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 02/09 | Chikaya Sato M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 05/08 | Donghyun Hwang M15 Tianjin |
1-2 | 11-12 | L |
| 28/07 | Ryotaro Taguchi M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/07 | Jake Delaney M15 Brisbane |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Lorenzo Lorusso vs Daisuke Sumizawa?
Our model gives 53% to Lorenzo Lorusso, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.