Tennis · M15 Singapore · 28/10, 03:00
Prediction: Kousuke Ogura vs James Van Herzeele
Team pages: Kousuke Ogura · James Van Herzeele
Prediction summary
Winner
Kousuke Ogura
James Van Herzeele
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Kousuke Ogura
5-5 (W-L)
James Van Herzeele
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Kousuke Ogura 1525 · James Van Herzeele 1484
| Kousuke Ogura | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 44% |
| Market | 65% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kousuke Ogura (rating 1525 vs 1484).
Statistics
| Kousuke Ogura | James Van Herzeele | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 40% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-0.9 | 1.2-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-10.9 | 11.3-11.5 |
| Aces | 3.3 | 4.3 |
| Double faults | 1.5 | 2.8 |
| 1st serve % | 68.4% | 73.4% |
| Break % | 38.8% | 36.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.1
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Kousuke Ogura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/10 | Maxime Janvier M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-16 | L |
| 23/10 | Ali Habib M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 22/10 | Seonyong Han M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Alexander Watanabe Eriksson M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Yuta Kikuchi Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 02/10 | Ryuki Matsuda M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 01/10 | Dong Ju Kim M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 30/09 | Minghui Zhang M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 14/09 | Alexandr Binda Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 14-16 | L |
| 13/09 | Daisuke Sumizawa Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
James Van Herzeele
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Cooper Kose M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-14 | L |
| 07/10 | Xirui Han M25 Luan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 06/10 | Anthony Susanto M25 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/10 | Nino Ehrenschneider M15 Luan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Nick Beamish M15 Luan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 10/09 | Thantub Suksumrarn M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
1-2 | 12-17 | L |
| 09/09 | Yuttana Charoenphon M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 01/09 | Manish Sureshkumar M15 Nonthaburi · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 20/08 | Petr Bar Biryukov M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 15-18 | L |
| 19/08 | Weiwen Pan M15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Kousuke Ogura vs James Van Herzeele?
Our model gives 61% to Kousuke Ogura, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.