Tennis · W15 Singapore · 27/10, 04:30
Prediction: Yingqun Sun vs Anri Nagata
Team pages: Yingqun Sun · Anri Nagata
Prediction summary
Winner
Yingqun Sun
Anri Nagata
Estimated games
20.3
Recent form · 10 last
Yingqun Sun
5-5 (W-L)
Anri Nagata
1-9 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Yingqun Sun
1–0
Anri Nagata
(1 last)
- 15 Jul2-1 16-13W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Yingqun Sun 1521 · Anri Nagata 1432
| Yingqun Sun | Anri Nagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 63% | 37% |
| Market | 79% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Yingqun Sun (rating 1521 vs 1432).
- Yingqun Sun is in better form: 60% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Yingqun Sun 1–0 Anri Nagata (1).
Statistics
| Yingqun Sun | Anri Nagata | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 20% |
| Win % · Hard | 60% (10) | 25% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.1 | 0.5-1.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.9-10.5 | 7.1-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 3 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 57.3% | 55.2% |
| Break % | 54.1% | 41.7% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.3
H2H · Yingqun Sun 1 – 0 Anri Nagata (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Yingqun Sun 1–0 Anri Nagata
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15/07/25 W15 Luan | 2-1 | 16-13 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Yingqun Sun
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/10 | Violet Apisah W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/10 | Yeri Hong W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 20/10 | Remika Ohashi W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 07/10 | Alina Yuneva W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 03/10 | Ha Eum Lee W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 02/10 | Jiayu Xu W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 01/10 | Meng Yi Chen W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Junlu Sun W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 25/09 | Yuhan Wang W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 24/09 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Maanshan · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
Anri Nagata
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Hong Yi Cody Wong W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/09 | Jiangxue Han W50 Nanao |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Suzuna Oigawa W50 Nanao |
2-1 | 13-7 | W |
| 15/09 | Nagi Hanatani W35 Kyoto |
1-2 | 7-11 | L |
| 07/09 | Yuka Matsumoto W15 Yeongwol |
0-2 | 2-8 | L |
| 09/08 | Sophie Bekker W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 02/08 | Gabriella Da Silva Fick W35 Roehampton · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 26/07 | Jaquelyn Ogunwale W35 Aldershot |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 24/06 | Reina Goto W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 22/06 | Ji Min Park W35 Taipei · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Yingqun Sun vs Anri Nagata?
Our model gives 72% to Yingqun Sun, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.