Tennis · W15 Singapore · 28/10, 03:00
Prediction: Moeka Miyata vs Arina Varaksina
Team pages: Moeka Miyata · Arina Varaksina
Prediction summary
Winner
Moeka Miyata
Arina Varaksina
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Moeka Miyata
5-5 (W-L)
Arina Varaksina
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Moeka Miyata 1513 · Arina Varaksina 1487
| Moeka Miyata | Arina Varaksina | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 46% |
| Market | 35% | 65% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Arina Varaksina makes many double faults (5.7/match).
Statistics
| Moeka Miyata | Arina Varaksina | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 40% |
| Win % · Hard | 63% (8) | 50% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-10.1 | 10.1-11.2 |
| Aces | 0.5 | 1.2 |
| Double faults | 3 | 5.7 |
| 1st serve % | 56.5% | 55.8% |
| Break % | 41% | 53% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Moeka Miyata
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Nalu Himeno W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 22/10 | Aruzhan Sagandikova W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Saina Jayesh Vaidya W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 21/09 | Remika Ohashi W50 Nanao |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 24/06 | Sara Yoshida W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 6-10 | L |
| 08/06 | Remika Ohashi W15 Tokyo · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Hiromi Abe W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Fang An Lin W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 12-9 | W |
| 20/05 | Haruka Nishimura W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-1 | 14-14 | W |
| 19/05 | Sayuri Hata W15 Toyama · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Arina Varaksina
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Ekaterina Khodzhaeva W15 Singapore · ~Hard |
1-0 | 10-9 | W |
| 14/10 | Shiho Tsujioka W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 24/06 | Nagisa Suzuki W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 13-16 | L |
| 16/06 | Ayumi Miyamoto W15 Sapporo |
1-2 | 10-17 | L |
| 22/05 | Ha Eum Lee W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 22/05 | Sera Nishimoto W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/05 | Meiqi Guo W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-12 | W |
| 19/05 | Eunchae Kim W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 12/05 | Eun Ji Lee W35 Andong · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 06/05 | Ya-Hsuan Lee W35 Changwon · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Moeka Miyata vs Arina Varaksina?
Our model gives 56% to Arina Varaksina, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.