Tennis · Challenger Seoul · 27/10, 07:30
Prediction: Beibit Zhukayev vs Coleman Wong
Team pages: Beibit Zhukayev · Coleman Wong
Prediction summary
Winner
Beibit Zhukayev
Coleman Wong
Estimated games
21.7
Recent form · 10 last
Beibit Zhukayev
4-6 (W-L)
Coleman Wong
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Beibit Zhukayev
0–1
Coleman Wong
(1 last)
- 06 Sept0-2 9-13L
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beibit Zhukayev 1486 · Coleman Wong 1606
| Beibit Zhukayev | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 67% |
| Market | 16% | 84% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Coleman Wong (rating 1486 vs 1606).
- Coleman Wong dominates on serve: 16.8 aces and 46.5% break avg.
- Coleman Wong is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Beibit Zhukayev 0–1 Coleman Wong (1).
Statistics
| Beibit Zhukayev | Coleman Wong | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 75% (8) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.2 | 1.7-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.3-11.5 | 13.5-10.3 |
| Aces | 8.6 | 16.8 |
| Double faults | 3.3 | 1.6 |
| 1st serve % | 71.1% | 79.5% |
| Break % | 38.4% | 46.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.7
H2H · Beibit Zhukayev 0 – 1 Coleman Wong (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beibit Zhukayev 0–1 Coleman Wong
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09/24 Challenger Shanghai | 0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beibit Zhukayev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/10 | Koki Matsuda Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 25/10 | Min Ho Ko Challenger Seoul · Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 17/10 | Adam Walton ATP Almaty · Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 11/10 | Ilya Ivashka Challenger Jinan · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Yaroslav Demin Challenger Wuning · Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 12/08 | Mert Alkaya Challenger Astana · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 11/08 | Amir Omarkhanov Challenger Astana · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 26/04 | Yusuke Takahashi Challenger Jiujiang · Clay |
1-2 | 15-19 | L |
| 21/04 | Liam Broady Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 20/04 | Hiroki Moriya Challenger Gwangju · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
Coleman Wong
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Tristan Schoolkate Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 24/10 | Yi Zhou Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 23/10 | Jay Friend Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 21/10 | Kasidit Samrej Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-1 | 16-13 | W |
| 19/10 | Jake Delaney Challenger Guangzhou · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Quentin Halys ATP Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Lloyd Harris ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-1 | 15-12 | W |
| 05/10 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 03/10 | Yibing Wu Asian Games |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 02/10 | Khumoyun Sultanov Asian Games |
2-1 | 15-11 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beibit Zhukayev vs Coleman Wong?
Our model gives 76% to Coleman Wong, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.