Tennis · W35 Kunshan · 28/10, 03:00

Prediction: Chengyiyi Yuan vs Ksenia Efremova

Team pages: Chengyiyi Yuan

Prediction summary
Winner
50% 50%
Chengyiyi Yuan Ksenia Efremova
Estimated games
22.1
Recent form · 10 last
Chengyiyi Yuan 5-5 (W-L)
LWLWLLWWWL
Ksenia Efremova 2-8 (W-L)
LWLLWLLLLL
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Chengyiyi Yuan 1515 · Ksenia Efremova 1407
Chengyiyi YuanKsenia Efremova
Our model65%35%
Market38%63%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Match keys

  • Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chengyiyi Yuan (rating 1515 vs 1407).
  • Chengyiyi Yuan is in better form: 50% recent wins.
  • Note: Chengyiyi Yuan makes many double faults (10.9/match).
  • Note: Ksenia Efremova makes many double faults (5.3/match).

Statistics

Chengyiyi YuanKsenia Efremova
Win %50%10%
Win % · Hard 57% (7) 0% (4)
Sets (G-P)1.3-1.20.6-1.8
Games (G-P)12.3-11.28.9-13.2
Aces2.11.7
Double faults10.95.3
1st serve %68.4%56.1%
Break %56.4%45.8%
Estimated total games (ours) 22.1

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Chengyiyi Yuan

WWLWL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
22/10 Yidi Yang
W35 Qian Daohu
1-2 18-15 L
21/10 Cheuk Ying Shek
W35 Qian Daohu
2-0 12-6 W
17/10 Sijia Wei
W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
1-2 11-17 L
16/10 Ekaterina Ovcharenko
W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-0 12-5 W
15/10 Hong Yi Cody Wong
W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-1 13-9 W
14/10 Yiming Dang
W15 Shenzhen · ~Hard
2-1 16-14 W
04/10 Han Shi
WTA Suzhou · Hard
1-2 14-15 L
27/09 Amelia Rajecki
WTA Jingshan · Hard
0-2 8-13 L
26/09 Nika Radisic
WTA Jingshan · Hard
2-0 12-5 W
16/09 Daria Khomutsianskaya
W35 Shenyang
0-2 7-13 L

Ksenia Efremova

LLLLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
07/10 Sophia Biolay
W35 Monastir · ~Hard
1-2 15-15 L
29/09 Martyna Kubka
WTA Adana · Hard
1-2 13-16 L
24/09 Yuliya Hatouka
W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 4-12 L
24/05 Sorana Cirstea
French Open Women · Clay
0-2 4-12 L
16/05 Oleksandra Oliynykova
WTA Strasbourg · Clay
0-2 3-12 L
11/05 Tamara Korpatsch
WTA Paris · Clay
1-2 13-16 L
27/04 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Saint-Malo · Clay
1-2 13-15 L
21/04 Alycia Parks
WTA Madrid · Clay
0-2 7-13 L
20/04 Lulu Sun
WTA Madrid · Clay
2-0 13-9 W
12/01 Aliaksandra Sasnovich
Australian Open Women · Hard
0-2 4-12 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Chengyiyi Yuan vs Ksenia Efremova?

Our model gives 50% to Chengyiyi Yuan, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.