Tennis · W35 Kunshan · 28/10, 03:00

Prediction: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Daria Zelinskaya

Team pages: Zhuoxuan Bai · Daria Zelinskaya

Prediction summary
Winner
73% 27%
Zhuoxuan Bai Daria Zelinskaya
Estimated games
20.9
Recent form · 10 last
Zhuoxuan Bai 3-7 (W-L)
LWLWWLLLLL
Daria Zelinskaya 5-5 (W-L)
WLLLLWWWLW
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Zhuoxuan Bai 1515 · Daria Zelinskaya 1491
Zhuoxuan BaiDaria Zelinskaya
Our model53%47%
Market89%11%

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Statistics

Zhuoxuan BaiDaria Zelinskaya
Win %50%40%
Win % · Hard 67% (6) 60% (5)
Sets (G-P)1.1-1.20.9-1.4
Games (G-P)10.2-10.88.8-11.1
Aces1.82.5
Double faults2.23.1
1st serve %63.1%62.4%
Break %36.5%35.6%
Estimated total games (ours) 20.9

Last 10 matches played

Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Zhuoxuan Bai

LWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Varvara Panshina
W35 Qian Daohu
0-2 2-9 L
09/10 Kyoka Okamura
WTA Suzhou · Hard
0-2 7-13 L
08/10 Emerson Jones
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-1 14-15 W
06/10 Moyuka Uchijima
WTA Suzhou · Hard
2-1 16-12 W
30/09 Linda Fruhvirtova
WTA Beijing · Hard
0-2 5-12 L
29/09 JiaYi Wang
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-1 W
28/09 Mina Hodzic
WTA Beijing · Hard
2-0 12-7 W
17/09 Sijia Wei
W35 Shenyang
1-2 16-18 L
15/09 Hong Yi Cody Wong
W35 Shenyang
2-0 13-9 W
09/09 Yufei Ren
W50 Guiyang
0-2 5-12 L

Daria Zelinskaya

WWWLL

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Date Opponent Sets Games Res.
21/10 Rada Zolotareva
W35 Qian Daohu
1-2 11-18 L
03/10 Antonina Sushkova
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 2-12 L
02/10 Charlotte Van Zonneveld
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 10-2 W
01/10 Sofia Avataneo
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-1 15-14 W
30/09 Ayline Esina Samardzic
W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
2-0 13-5 W
23/09 Esther Adeshina
W35 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard
0-2 8-13 L
12/08 Eunchae Kim
W15 Astana
0-2 6-12 L
04/08 Arina Arifullina
W15 Astana
0-2 4-12 L
01/08 Victoria Milovanova
W15 Astana
0-2 6-13 L
31/07 Asylzhan Arystanbekova
W15 Astana
2-1 13-10 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Zhuoxuan Bai vs Daria Zelinskaya?

Our model gives 73% to Zhuoxuan Bai, using surface Elo on hard.

What is the prediction based on?

On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.