Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 26/10, 08:00
Prediction: Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Doga Turkmen
Team pages: Ekaterina Tupitsyna · Doga Turkmen
Prediction summary
Winner
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Doga Turkmen
Estimated games
20.5
Recent form · 10 last
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
6-4 (W-L)
Doga Turkmen
4-6 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ekaterina Tupitsyna 1548 · Doga Turkmen 1442
| Ekaterina Tupitsyna | Doga Turkmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 65% | 35% |
| Market | 91% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ekaterina Tupitsyna (rating 1548 vs 1442).
- Ekaterina Tupitsyna is in better form: 70% recent wins.
- Note: Ekaterina Tupitsyna makes many double faults (8.3/match).
Statistics
| Ekaterina Tupitsyna | Doga Turkmen | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 70% | 30% |
| Win % · Hard | 67% (6) | 33% (9) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.5-0.9 | 0.7-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.3-9.8 | 8.2-10.2 |
| Aces | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Double faults | 8.3 | 3 |
| 1st serve % | 63.7% | 56.3% |
| Break % | 62.2% | 37.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ekaterina Tupitsyna
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Minel Naz Kaynak W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 17/10 | Vaishnavi Adkar W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 15/10 | Jenny Lim W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Jessica Hinojosa Gomez W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 16-11 | W |
| 08/10 | Tiphanie Lemaitre W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
1-2 | 16-18 | L |
| 07/10 | Chenting Zhu W35 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-13 | W |
| 20/09 | Ekaterina Perelygina W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 19/09 | Katarina Kuzmova W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 18/09 | Elena Milovanovic W35 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Doga Turkmen
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Anna Snigireva W50 Istanbul |
1-1 | 8-9 | L |
| 04/10 | Weronika Falkowska WTA Samsun · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 10/09 | Maria Oliver Sanchez W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 09/09 | Yiru Chen W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Marie Villet W15 Monastir · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 12/07 | Isabella Shinikova WTA Istanbul · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 30/06 | Selina Atay W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 10-14 | L |
| 26/06 | Kateryna Lazarenko W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/06 | Caroline Hermanns W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 24/06 | Sandugash Kenzhibayeva W15 Kayseri · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ekaterina Tupitsyna vs Doga Turkmen?
Our model gives 79% to Ekaterina Tupitsyna, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.