Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 26/10, 17:30
Prediction: Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick
Team pages: Alan Magadan · Tristan McCormick
Prediction summary
Winner
Alan Magadan
Tristan McCormick
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Alan Magadan
4-6 (W-L)
Tristan McCormick
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alan Magadan 1525 · Tristan McCormick 1544
| Alan Magadan | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 53% |
| Market | 58% | 42% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Tristan McCormick makes many double faults (5.2/match).
Statistics
| Alan Magadan | Tristan McCormick | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 70% |
| Win % · Clay | 60% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1 | 1.4-0.9 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.6-10.7 | 12.4-11.2 |
| Aces | 3.7 | 8.6 |
| Double faults | 2.7 | 5.2 |
| 1st serve % | 70.6% | 76.1% |
| Break % | 42.9% | 37.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alan Magadan
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 19/10 | Daniel Salazar Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Juan Miguel Bolivar Idarraga Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 05/10 | Joao Eduardo Schiessl Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 04/10 | Nicolas Bruna Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-15 | W |
| 21/08 | Coleman Wong Challenger Cancun · Hard |
1-2 | 16-14 | L |
| 20/08 | Alex Hernandez Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-1 | 16-10 | W |
| 19/08 | Rio Noguchi Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 18/08 | David Jorda Sanchis Challenger Cancun · Hard |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/07 | Alex Hernandez ATP Los Cabos · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
Tristan McCormick
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Bernardo Munk Mesa Challenger Guayaquil · Clay |
2-0 | 13-8 | W |
| 18/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 16/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 15/10 | Alberto Odiseo Alvarado Berrospi M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-12 | W |
| 14/10 | Dakotah Bobo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 11/10 | Lucas Andrade da Silva M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 10/10 | Victor Bini M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-14 | W |
| 09/10 | Alex Hernandez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 19-17 | W |
| 08/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 15-14 | W |
| 07/10 | Tyler Mercier M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alan Magadan vs Tristan McCormick?
Our model gives 53% to Alan Magadan, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.