Tennis · M15 Selva Gardena · 26/10, 13:30
Prediction: Alberto Morolli vs Dean Thurner
Team pages: Alberto Morolli · Dean Thurner
Prediction summary
Winner
Alberto Morolli
Dean Thurner
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Alberto Morolli
4-6 (W-L)
Dean Thurner
4-6 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Alberto Morolli
1–0
Dean Thurner
(1 last)
- 19 Oct2-0 12-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Alberto Morolli 1471 · Dean Thurner 1485
| Alberto Morolli | Dean Thurner | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 52% |
| Market | 72% | 28% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Head-to-head: Alberto Morolli 1–0 Dean Thurner (1).
- Note: Dean Thurner makes many double faults (6.4/match).
Statistics
| Alberto Morolli | Dean Thurner | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 43% (7) | 50% (4) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.9-1.4 | 0.9-1.3 |
| Games (G-P) | 8-9.7 | 8.2-10.3 |
| Aces | 1 | 0.8 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 6.4 |
| 1st serve % | 59.4% | 59% |
| Break % | 37.2% | 43.9% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
H2H · Alberto Morolli 1 – 0 Dean Thurner (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Alberto Morolli 1–0 Dean Thurner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/10/25 M25 Sarreguemines | 2-0 | 12-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Alberto Morolli
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09 | Louis Van Herck M15 Forbach |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/09 | Pietro Mugelli M15 Forbach |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/09 | Evan Galea M25 Pozzuoli |
1-2 | 9-11 | L |
| 01/09 | Aradhya Kshitij M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 27/08 | Yassine Smiej M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Rohan Mehra M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 25/08 | Akshaj Subramanian M15 Hurghada · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 27/07 | Davide Tortora M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 26/07 | Adriano Botta M25 Bolzano · ~Clay |
2-1 | 11-10 | W |
| 16/06 | Gabrielius Guzauskas M15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
Dean Thurner
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Roberto Franchin M15 Selva Gardena |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/10 | Tanguy Genier M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 12/10 | Filip Martinovic M15 Szabolcsveresmart · ~Clay |
2-0 | 14-11 | W |
| 26/08 | Maximilian Alessandro Erhardt M15 Allershausen |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 17/08 | Thanaphat Boosarawongse M15 Lambermont |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 16/08 | Clement Wauters M15 Lambermont |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 11/08 | Carlos Giraldi M15 Trier |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 15/06 | Batiste Guerra M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
0-2 | 10-13 | L |
| 14/06 | Dany Robas M25 Klosters · ~Clay |
2-1 | 8-11 | W |
| 21/04 | Henry Lieberman M15 Heraklion · ~Hard |
1-2 | 7-10 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Alberto Morolli vs Dean Thurner?
Our model gives 61% to Alberto Morolli, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.