Tennis · ATP Vienna · 26/10, 17:30
Prediction: Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley
Team pages: Arthur Fery · Jacob Fearnley
Prediction summary
Winner
Arthur Fery
Jacob Fearnley
Estimated games
23.5Bet365 line 22.5
Recent form · 10 last
Arthur Fery
4-6 (W-L)
Jacob Fearnley
8-2 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Arthur Fery 1489 · Jacob Fearnley 1567
| Arthur Fery | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 61% |
| Market | 41% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Jacob Fearnley (rating 1489 vs 1567).
- Jacob Fearnley is in better form: 80% recent wins.
Statistics
| Arthur Fery | Jacob Fearnley | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 50% | 80% |
| Win % · Hard | 44% (9) | 80% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-1.2 | 1.6-0.6 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-11.7 | 12.3-8 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| Double faults | 2.2 | 2.3 |
| 1st serve % | 68.1% | 73.7% |
| Break % | 44.8% | 50.4% |
Estimated total games (ours)
23.5 · Bet365 line 22.5 · +1
Over 22.5: 57% · 1.83
Under 22.5: 43% · 1.83
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Arthur Fery
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Borna Gojo ATP Lyon · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 09/10 | Karen Khachanov ATP Shanghai · Hard |
1-2 | 19-20 | L |
| 07/10 | Marin Cilic ATP Shanghai · Hard |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 01/10 | Jaime Faria ATP Tokyo · Hard |
1-2 | 14-15 | L |
| 19/09 | Alvaro Guillen Meza Davis Cup |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 01/09 | Lorenzo Musetti US Open · Hard |
0-3 | 11-19 | L |
| 29/08 | Ignacio Buse ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 28/08 | Aleksandar Kovacevic ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-1 | 16-14 | W |
| 26/08 | Mees Rottgering ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 25/08 | Cruz Hewitt ATP Winston-Salem · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
Jacob Fearnley
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Lorenzo Sonego ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 18-12 | W |
| 24/10 | Pablo Carreno Busta ATP Vienna · Hard |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 21/10 | Clement Chidekh ATP Brussels · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 20/10 | Hugo Gaston ATP Brussels · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 18/10 | Damir Dzumhur Challenger Olbia · Hard |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 17/10 | Luca Nardi Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 16/10 | Maxim Mrva Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 13-6 | W |
| 15/10 | Jan Kumstat Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 13/10 | George Loffhagen Challenger Olbia · Hard |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 30/09 | Alejo Sanchez Quilez Challenger Porto · Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Arthur Fery vs Jacob Fearnley?
Our model gives 60% to Jacob Fearnley, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.