Tennis · W50 Istanbul · 26/10, 08:00
Prediction: Dunja Maric vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Team pages: Dunja Maric · Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Prediction summary
Winner
Dunja Maric
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
Estimated games
19.5
Recent form · 10 last
Dunja Maric
6-4 (W-L)
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
6-4 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Dunja Maric 1516 · Ustiniya Lekomtseva 1519
| Dunja Maric | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 50% |
| Market | 75% | 25% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Ustiniya Lekomtseva makes many double faults (5.4/match).
Statistics
| Dunja Maric | Ustiniya Lekomtseva | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Hard | 50% (4) | 60% (5) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.2-0.8 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 9.1-6.9 | 11.3-10.3 |
| Aces | 1.6 | 1.1 |
| Double faults | 2.8 | 5.4 |
| 1st serve % | 69.5% | 59.7% |
| Break % | 47.6% | 54.8% |
Estimated total games (ours)
19.5
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dunja Maric
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Arya Akkoyun W50 Istanbul |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 16/10 | Maria Sara Popa W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 14/10 | Emma Mazzoni W35 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 07/10 | Vittoria Paganetti W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 06/10 | Emma Mazzoni W50 Heraklion · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 24/09 | Alessandra Mazzola W50 Plovdiv |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 23/09 | Diana-Ioana Simionescu W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 21/09 | Anastasija Cvetkovic W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 20/09 | Galena Krastenova W50 Plovdiv |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 14/09 | Amelia Paszun W50 Pazardzhik |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
Ustiniya Lekomtseva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/10 | Lamis Alhussein Abdel Aziz W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
1-2 | 8-15 | L |
| 16/10 | Iva Marinkovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
| 15/10 | Fleur de Bresser W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 14/10 | Andrea Roots W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
2-1 | 18-10 | W |
| 07/10 | Andrea Lola Popovic W15 Sharm El Sheikh · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 06/08 | Mariia Masiianskaia W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 04/08 | Anastasia Bertacchi W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-16 | W |
| 31/07 | Rebecca Munk Mortensen W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 30/07 | Anna Petkovic W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 28/07 | Ariadna Garcia Patron Canals W15 Kursumlijska Banja · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dunja Maric vs Ustiniya Lekomtseva?
Our model gives 64% to Dunja Maric, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.