Tennis · W75 Poitiers · 26/10, 14:00
Prediction: Sarah Iliev vs Hanna Bougouffa
Team pages: Sarah Iliev · Hanna Bougouffa
Prediction summary
Winner
Sarah Iliev
Hanna Bougouffa
Estimated games
21.2
Recent form · 10 last
Sarah Iliev
5-5 (W-L)
Hanna Bougouffa
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Sarah Iliev
1–0
Hanna Bougouffa
(1 last)
- 06 Oct2-0 12-8W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sarah Iliev 1573 · Hanna Bougouffa 1507
| Sarah Iliev | Hanna Bougouffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 41% |
| Market | 84% | 16% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sarah Iliev (rating 1573 vs 1507).
- Sarah Iliev is in better form: 80% recent wins.
- Head-to-head: Sarah Iliev 1–0 Hanna Bougouffa (1).
- Note: Sarah Iliev makes many double faults (4/match).
- Note: Hanna Bougouffa makes many double faults (4.3/match).
Statistics
| Sarah Iliev | Hanna Bougouffa | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 80% | 50% |
| Win % · Hard | – | 100% (1) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.6-0.9 | 1.3-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.5-9.6 | 10.6-10.2 |
| Aces | 1 | 2.2 |
| Double faults | 4 | 4.3 |
| 1st serve % | 65.3% | 61.6% |
| Break % | 55.2% | 50.2% |
Estimated total games (ours)
21.2
H2H · Sarah Iliev 1 – 0 Hanna Bougouffa (1)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sarah Iliev 1–0 Hanna Bougouffa
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| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/10/26 W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq | 2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sarah Iliev
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Oceane Dodin W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 19/10 | Maia Ilinca Burcescu W50 Cherbourg |
2-1 | 17-11 | W |
| 18/10 | Severine Deppner W50 Cherbourg |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 09/10 | Emma Lene W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 08/10 | Anna Burchak W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 06/10 | Hanna Bougouffa W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
| 12/09 | Daphnee Mpetshi Perricard W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 14-11 | W |
| 11/09 | Marta Soriano Santiago W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 14-10 | W |
| 10/09 | Gina Marie Dittmann W15 Dijon |
2-1 | 15-10 | W |
| 09/09 | Kayla Lorrimer W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Hanna Bougouffa
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Laetitia Sarrazin W75 Poitiers · ~Hard |
2-1 | 15-15 | W |
| 18/10 | Clara Vlasselaer W50 Cherbourg |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 06/10 | Sarah Iliev W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 05/10 | Liv Boulard W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-1 | 10-12 | W |
| 04/10 | Sarah Leroy W35 Villeneuve D'Ascq |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 29/09 | Hee Rae Im W35 Reims |
1-2 | 8-9 | L |
| 28/09 | Olivia Gram W35 Reims |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 13/09 | Gyeong Seo Lee W75 Le Neubourg |
1-2 | 12-15 | L |
| 09/09 | Lian Tran W15 Dijon |
1-2 | 10-15 | L |
| 08/09 | Mila Bastianelli W15 Dijon |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sarah Iliev vs Hanna Bougouffa?
Our model gives 73% to Sarah Iliev, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.