Tennis · M15 Singapore · 26/10, 06:00
Prediction: Ren Nakamura vs Hong-Lin Fu
Team pages: Ren Nakamura · Hong-Lin Fu
Prediction summary
Winner
Ren Nakamura
Hong-Lin Fu
Estimated games
18.8
Recent form · 10 last
Ren Nakamura
2-8 (W-L)
Hong-Lin Fu
7-3 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ren Nakamura 1444 · Hong-Lin Fu 1558
| Ren Nakamura | Hong-Lin Fu | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 34% | 66% |
| Market | 50% | 50% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Hong-Lin Fu (rating 1444 vs 1558).
- Hong-Lin Fu is in better form: 70% recent wins.
Statistics
| Ren Nakamura | Hong-Lin Fu | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 30% | 70% |
| Win % · Hard | 20% (5) | 70% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.6-1.6 | 1.4-0.7 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-10.8 | 10.4-7.5 |
| Aces | 1.8 | 4.9 |
| Double faults | 1.9 | 1.8 |
| 1st serve % | 58.2% | 74% |
| Break % | 29.7% | 49.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
18.8
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ren Nakamura
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Allen Leong M15 Singapore Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-1 | W |
| 21/10 | Taisei Ichikawa M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 06/09 | Hanyi Liu Challenger Shanghai · Hard |
0-2 | 1-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Azuma Visaya M15 Bali |
0-2 | 2-12 | L |
| 26/08 | Kristjan Tamm M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Ryuki Matsuda M25 Taipei · ~Hard |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 27/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
0-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 26/07 | Diordan Macababbad M15 Bali Qual |
2-1 | 13-11 | W |
| 22/07 | Keisuke Saitoh M15 Bali |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 20/07 | Corban Crowther M15 Bali |
2-1 | 9-9 | W |
Hong-Lin Fu
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10 | Lleyton Richards M15 Singapore Qual · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 19/10 | Luke Jie Xi Ho M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Taentawan Taddeo Majoli Maggioli M15 Singapore · ~Hard |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
| 05/09 | Raffael Gasanov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-7 | W |
| 03/09 | Mao Takada UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 13-5 | W |
| 02/09 | Alexey Shtengelov UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 01/09 | Kotaro Mochizuki UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 31/08 | Jacob Kailiang Shen UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-1 | 15-8 | W |
| 09/08 | Kai Milburn UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 08/08 | Satoru Nakajima UTR Pro Kawaguchi · Hard |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ren Nakamura vs Hong-Lin Fu?
Our model gives 57% to Hong-Lin Fu, using surface Elo on hard.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (hard) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.