Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 25/10, 17:30
Prediction: Jose Pereira vs Alex Hernandez
Team pages: Jose Pereira · Alex Hernandez
Prediction summary
Winner
Jose Pereira
Alex Hernandez
Estimated games
22.7
Recent form · 10 last
Jose Pereira
5-5 (W-L)
Alex Hernandez
7-3 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Jose Pereira
1–1
Alex Hernandez
(2 last)
- 12 Oct0-2 6-12L
- 20 Jan2-0 13-7W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Jose Pereira 1540 · Alex Hernandez 1523
| Jose Pereira | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 48% |
| Market | 46% | 54% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Note: Alex Hernandez makes many double faults (4.7/match).
Statistics
| Jose Pereira | Alex Hernandez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 60% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 67% (9) | 60% (10) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.4-1 | 1.5-1 |
| Games (G-P) | 11.8-10.4 | 12.4-11.1 |
| Aces | 2.1 | 2.6 |
| Double faults | 2 | 4.7 |
| 1st serve % | 65% | 71.7% |
| Break % | 55% | 47.5% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.7
H2H · Jose Pereira 1 – 1 Alex Hernandez (2)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Jose Pereira 1–1 Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/10/25 Challenger Curitiba | 0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 20/01/20 ITF M15 Cancun | 2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Jose Pereira
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Matheus Pucinelli De Almeida Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 19/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 18/10 | Tristan McCormick Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 06/10 | Lautaro Midon Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 9-16 | L |
| 05/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 04/10 | Arklon Huertas del Pino Cordova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 29/09 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Ryan Dickerson Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 19-13 | W |
| 27/09 | Rafael Tosetto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 25/09 | Wilson Leite M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
Alex Hernandez
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 19/10 | Franco Ribero Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 18/10 | Matteo Covato Challenger Cali · Clay |
2-0 | 13-9 | W |
| 17/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 11-16 | L |
| 16/10 | Ivan Dreycopp M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 16-12 | W |
| 15/10 | Felipe De Dios M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-1 | 14-12 | W |
| 13/10 | Gray Voelzke M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 09/10 | Tristan McCormick M15 Quito · ~Clay |
1-2 | 17-19 | L |
| 08/10 | Miles Clark M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-4 | W |
| 06/10 | Mario Andre Galarraga M15 Quito · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Jose Pereira vs Alex Hernandez?
Our model gives 51% to Alex Hernandez, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.