Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 25/10, 17:30
Prediction: Mateo Del Pino vs Wilson Leite
Team pages: Mateo Del Pino · Wilson Leite
Prediction summary
Winner
Mateo Del Pino
Wilson Leite
Estimated games
20.6
Recent form · 10 last
Mateo Del Pino
2-8 (W-L)
Wilson Leite
5-5 (W-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Mateo Del Pino 1421 · Wilson Leite 1462
| Mateo Del Pino | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 56% |
| Market | 23% | 77% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Wilson Leite (rating 1421 vs 1462).
- Note: Mateo Del Pino makes many double faults (4.2/match).
Statistics
| Mateo Del Pino | Wilson Leite | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 20% | 40% |
| Win % · Clay | 25% (8) | 29% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 0.4-1.6 | 1.1-1.2 |
| Games (G-P) | 7-10.3 | 10.9-10.4 |
| Aces | 0.6 | 2.9 |
| Double faults | 4.2 | 1.9 |
| 1st serve % | 52.3% | 68.3% |
| Break % | 61.7% | 45% |
Estimated total games (ours)
20.6
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Mateo Del Pino
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Juan Sebastian Gomez Challenger Cali · Clay |
0-2 | 8-12 | L |
| 13/10 | Juan Sebastian Osorio M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 6-13 | L |
| 07/10 | Manuel Mouilleron Salvo M15 Quito · ~Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 21/09 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
0-2 | 3-12 | L |
| 01/09 | Valentino Grippo M15 Trelew |
0-2 | 9-13 | L |
| 25/08 | Felipe De Dios M15 Mar Del Plata |
0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 19/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 18/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 9-1 | W |
| 12/08 | Federico Aguilar Cardozo M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 11/08 | Joao Vitor Scramin do Lago M15 Asuncion · ~Clay |
2-0 | 12-2 | W |
Wilson Leite
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10 | Sergio Luis Hernandez Ramirez Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 15-17 | L |
| 12/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 11/10 | Luis Britto Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 04/10 | Hernan Casanova Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 13-15 | L |
| 29/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
1-2 | 12-13 | L |
| 28/09 | Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 27/09 | Justin Roberts Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 26/09 | Mateus Alves M15 Curitiba |
0-2 | 7-13 | L |
| 25/09 | Jose Pereira M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 24/09 | Victor Hugo Remondy Pagotto M15 Curitiba |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Mateo Del Pino vs Wilson Leite?
Our model gives 67% to Wilson Leite, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.