Tennis · Challenger Guayaquil · 27/10, 16:00
Prediction: Gonzalo Villanueva vs Lautaro Midon
Team pages: Gonzalo Villanueva · Lautaro Midon
Prediction summary
Winner
Gonzalo Villanueva
Lautaro Midon
Estimated games
22.9
Recent form · 10 last
Gonzalo Villanueva
4-6 (W-L)
Lautaro Midon
6-4 (W-L)
Head-to-head
Gonzalo Villanueva
2–1
Lautaro Midon
(3 last)
- 18 Mar0-2 8-13L
- 29 May2-1 17-16W
- 23 May2-1 17-15W
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Gonzalo Villanueva 1449 · Lautaro Midon 1551
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 64% |
| Market | 29% | 71% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (surface Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Lautaro Midon (rating 1449 vs 1551).
- Head-to-head: Gonzalo Villanueva 2–1 Lautaro Midon (3).
Statistics
| Gonzalo Villanueva | Lautaro Midon | |
|---|---|---|
| Win % | 40% | 60% |
| Win % · Clay | 29% (7) | 71% (7) |
| Sets (G-P) | 1.3-1.3 | 1.2-1.1 |
| Games (G-P) | 12.6-12.8 | 10.8-10.5 |
| Aces | 2.9 | 4.2 |
| Double faults | 3.9 | 2.6 |
| 1st serve % | 64.9% | 68.2% |
| Break % | 41% | 51.6% |
Estimated total games (ours)
22.9
H2H · Gonzalo Villanueva 2 – 1 Lautaro Midon (3)
Head-to-head (H2H) · Gonzalo Villanueva 2–1 Lautaro Midon
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18/03/26 Challenger Asuncion | 0-2 | 8-13 | L |
| 29/05/25 ITF M25 Coquimbo | 2-1 | 17-16 | W |
| 23/05/25 ITF M25 Coquimbo | 2-1 | 17-15 | W |
Last 10 matches played
Last matches of each player (sets and games). W = win, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Gonzalo Villanueva
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/10 | Miguel Tobon Challenger Cali · Clay |
1-2 | 11-14 | L |
| 14/10 | Carlos Maria Zarate Challenger Santa Cruz · Clay |
1-2 | 14-17 | L |
| 05/10 | Nick Hardt Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 02/10 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 01/10 | Mateus Alves Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-5 | W |
| 30/09 | Juan Carlos Prado Angelo Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-1 | 15-13 | W |
| 22/09 | Guido Ivan Justo Challenger Buenos Aires · Clay |
1-2 | 11-15 | L |
| 29/08 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo M15 Mar Del Plata |
1-2 | 16-17 | L |
| 28/08 | Santiago De La Fuente M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 13-10 | W |
| 27/08 | Vito Antonio Darderi M15 Mar Del Plata |
2-0 | 12-8 | W |
Lautaro Midon
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| Date | Opponent | Sets | Games | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | Thiago Seyboth Wild Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
0-2 | 5-12 | L |
| 09/10 | Eduardo Ribeiro Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-0 | 12-3 | W |
| 08/10 | Joaquin Aguillar Cardozo Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-18 | W |
| 06/10 | Jose Pereira Challenger Antofagasta · Clay |
2-1 | 16-9 | W |
| 02/10 | Gustavo Heide Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
0-2 | 6-12 | L |
| 30/09 | Bruno Fernandez Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 13-7 | W |
| 29/09 | Matias Soto Challenger Curitiba · Clay |
2-0 | 12-6 | W |
| 24/08 | Kyrian Jacquet US Open · Hard |
0-2 | 7-12 | L |
| 20/08 | Clement Chidekh Challenger Kingston · Hard |
0-2 | 4-12 | L |
| 17/08 | Dan Martin Challenger Kingston · Hard |
2-1 | 17-14 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Gonzalo Villanueva vs Lautaro Midon?
Our model gives 68% to Lautaro Midon, using surface Elo on clay.
What is the prediction based on?
On an Elo model by surface (clay) adjusted for opponent quality, compared with the market odds.